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Henry J



Posts: 5786
Joined: Mar. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,10:07   

But of course contamination is a problem - why else would the EPA have been created? :p

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,11:04   

Quote (JonF @ Dec. 03 2011,15:33)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,14:05)
   
Quote (JonF @ Dec. 03 2011,12:02)
   
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 02 2011,13:34)

Yeah about five times now but here it goes again: A little contamination here and a little change in decay rates there day after day over many millennia leads to exponential inaccuracies and radiomagic dating.

Nope, if there were changes in radioactive decay rates they would not compound. As proven by the simple first-year algebra that I posted and you were unable to understand.

And contamination is not a problem in the vast majority of methods in use over the last few decades, because if it exists it is detected as part of the method.

Before you criticize, you need to learn what you are criticizing.

I have already cited you proof that contamination is a major problem.

No, you have not even attempted to cite proof that contamination is a problem. Measurements, sonny-boy, Data. The dreaded mathematical analysis. That's what's required. Not vague allegations without support.

Plus, anyone claiming that contamination is a problem has to explain the big picture; the consilience between wildly different methods, radiometric and non-radiometric. Oh, "They're all liars in a world-wide conspiracy" isn't an explanation.

 
Quote
you and reciprocal Bill under the impression that this small percentage change is a single event but  I  cited findings of multiple changes in decay rates occurring even within one week's time.  Now imagine all the alterations that would occur from major perturbations over so called millions of years and you have an even more ridiculous psuedoscience than it already is.

{ETA} You haven't cited any instances of decay rates changes under terrestrial conditions. All the physics we know, and it's a lot, tells us that there has been no noticeable, much less significant, change in decay rates over the last 13-ish billion years.

"Perturbations" of the magnitude your fantasy requires would leave traces, such as a barren Earth sterilized twice over by radiation and heat. Even the few creationists who understand the issue admit this: RATE in Review: Unresolved Problems.

And, as I have pointed out before, "perturbations" well under a percent would leave traces that we've looked for and haven't seen: The Constancy of Constants, The Constancy of Constants, Part 2. Got the stones to read and comprehend those links?

Finally, your idiotic idea that small changes in radioactive decay rates would have a large effect on our dates is, well, idiotic. A 1% change in decay rate would yield approximately a 1% change in the calculated age. Your compounding idea is just silly.

See how y'all just sweep the good stuff under the rug to sensationalize your psuedososcience.

Here's some more to sweep

Peter Sturrock, Stanford professor emeritus of applied physics “ knew from long experience that the intensity of the barrage of neutrinos the sun continuously sends racing toward Earth varies on a regular basis as the sun itself revolves and shows a different face, like a slower version of the revolving light on a police car. His advice to Purdue: Look for evidence that the changes in radioactive decay on Earth vary with the rotation of the sun. “That’s what I suggested. And that’s what we have done.”
http://www.symmetrymagazine.org/breakin....lements

Power spectrum analyses of nuclear decay rate Astroparticle Physics
Volume 34, Issue 3, October 2010 Stanford University
Ra decay reported by an experiment performed at the Physikalisch–Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) in Germany. All three data sets exhibit the same primary frequency mode consisting of an annual period. Additional spectral comparisons of the data to local ambient temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, Earth–Sun distance, and their reciprocals were performed. No common phases were found between the factors investigated and those exhibited by the nuclear decay data. This suggests that either a combination of factors was responsible, or that, if it was a single factor,
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science....0001234

Purdue paediatrician Ephraim Fischbach. “What our data are showing is that the half lives, or the decay constants, are apparently not fundamental constants of nature, but appear to be affected by solar activity,” “To summarize, what we are showing is that the decay constant is not really a constant.”
http://physicsworld.com/cws....08

Evidence for Correlations Between Nuclear Decay Rates and Earth-Sun Distance Jere H. Jenkins, Ephraim Fischbach Purdue University
http://arxiv.org/abs....08.3283

“[Jenkins et al.] discovered that a spike in X-ray flux associated with the flare roughly coincided with a dip in the manganese’s decay rate. Two days later, an X-ray spike from a second solar flare coincided with another, though very faint, dip. Then, on 17 December, a third X-ray spike accompanied yet another dip, which was more prominent (see above figure).”
http://physicsworld.com/cws....08

Jenkins et al. found fluctuations in radium, which is a popular dating isotope and often used with lead and a daughter element of uranium  
http://arxiv.org/abs....08.3283

“They [Jenkins et al.] discovered that a spike in X-ray flux associated with the flare roughly coincided with a dip in the manganese’s decay rate. Two days later, an X-ray spike from a second solar flare coincided with another, though very faint, dip. Then, on 17 December, a third X-ray spike accompanied yet another dip, which was more prominent (see above figure).”
http://physicsworld.com/cws....08

The Sun is changing the rate of radioactive decay, and breaking the rules of chemistry
http://io9.com/5619954....emistry
“It's one of the most basic concepts in all of chemistry: Radioactive elements decay at a onstant rate. If that weren't the case, carbon-14 dating wouldn't tell us anything reliable about the age of archaeological materials, and every chemotherapy treatment would be a gamble. It's such a fundamental assumption that scientists don't even bother testing it anymore. That's why researchers had to stumble upon this discovery in the most unlikely of ways……That's when they [Purdue University] discovered something strange. The data produced gave random numbers for the individual atoms, yes, but the overall decay wasn't constant, flying in the face of the accepted rules of chemistry.”

DO RADIOACTIVE HALF-LIVES VARY WITH THE EARTH-TO-SUN DISTANCE? Submitted on 26 Aug 2011
Abstract
Recently, Jenkins, Fischbach and collaborators have claimed evidence that radioactive half-lives vary systematically over a ?0.1% range as a function of the oscillating distance between the Earth and the Sun, based on multi-year activity measurements. We have avoided the time-dependent instabilities to which such measurements are susceptible by directly measuring the half-life of 198Au (t1/2 = 2.695 d) on seven occasions spread out in time to cover the complete range of Earth-Sun distances. We observe no systematic  oscillations in half-life and can set an upper limit on their amplitude of ?0.02%

Cosmic-ray-induced fission of heavy nuclides: Possible influence on apparent 238U-fission track ages of extraterrestrial samples                                       Abstract The rates of cosmic-ray-induced fission of U, Th, Bi, Pb, and Au in mineral samples as a function of burial depth in the lunar surface layer are calculated using the available experimental particle flux and cross section data. Theoretical correction factors are given for apparent fission track ages of extraterrestrial samples of different burial depths which were exposed to cosmic rays for various time fractions of their solidification age. Samples having typical lunar heavy element contents can yield apparent fission track ages which are too high by a factor of up to ?13 due to cosmic-ray-induced fission. The interference may be neglected, if the ratio of exposure age to solidification age remains ? 5 × 10?3. The calculations show, that the induced fission of Bi, Pb, and Au which are known to have high meteoritic abundances may dominate spontaneous 238U-fission in long-time exposed meteorites of low U and Th contents.

Implications for C-14 Dating of the Jenkins-Fischbach Effect and Possible Fluctuation of the Solar Fusion Rate
(Submitted on 28 Aug 2008 (v1),
Abstract: It has long been known that the C-14 calibration curve, which relates the known age of tree rings to their apparent C-14 ages, includes a number of "wiggles" which clearly are not experimental errors or other random effects. A reasonable interpretation of these wiggles is that they indicate that the Sun's fusion "furnace" is pulsating, perhaps for reasons similar to that of the Cepheid variables, albeit under a very different regime of pressure and temperature. If this speculation is correct, we are seeing the heartbeat of the Sun-the C-14 calibration curve is the Sun's "neutrino-cardiogram." Elevated neutrino flux during a relatively brief period would have two effects: (1) a surge in C-14 fraction in the atmosphere, which would make biological samples that were alive during the surge appear to be "too young" (2) depletion of C-14 in the biotic matter already dead at the time of the surge; this is a consequence of the recently discovered Jenkins-Fischbach effect, which is an observed correlation between nuclear decay rates and solar activity or Earth-Sun distance.  In addition, the precise value at any given time of the "half-life" of any unstable isotope-including C-14-must now be considered in doubt, since the Jenkins-Fischbach effect implies that we may no longer view the decay rate of an isotope as intrinsically governed and therefore a constant of Nature.

Mineral isochrons and isotopic fingerprinting: Pitfalls and promises Geology; January 2005; v. 33; no. 1; p. 29-32; 2005 Geological Society of America http://geology.geoscienceworld.org/cgi....29
Abstract: The determination of accurate and precise isochron ages for igneous rocks requires that the initial isotope ratios of the analyzed minerals are identical at the time of eruption or emplacement. Studies of young volcanic rocks at the mineral scale have shown this assumption to be invalid in many instances. Variations in initial isotope ratios can result in erroneous or imprecise ages. Nevertheless, it is possible for initial isotope ratio variation to be obscured in a statistically acceptable isochron. Independent age determinations and critical appraisal of petrography are needed to evaluate isotope data. If initial isotope ratio variability can be demonstrated, however, it can be used to constrain petrogenetic pathways.

  
Reciprocating Bill



Posts: 4265
Joined: Oct. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,11:11   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:04)
See how y'all just sweep the good stuff under the rug to sensationalize your psuedososcience.

I lifted the rug, and found these:

1) Given your concession that the errors you cite in radiometric dating of the age of the earth (such as the above) do NOT account for the entirety of the 227,000 to 1 ratio of the scientific estimate of the age of the earth versus your wishful fiction, what percentage of error DO you allege?

Do errors in radiometric dating result in an overstatement of the age of the earth by 1%, in which case the earth is actually 4.49 billion years old?  By 10%, indicating an earth of 4.08 billion years? By 50%, giving 2.27 billion years, more than 110,000x your Biblically derived age? By 90 percent, indicating an earth that is 22,700x older than your wishful fiction?

Whichever number you arrive at, please justify it in terms of the literature you cite. To date the most generous estimate of possible error is 1/2 of 1%, so you've a long way to go.

2) If corrected dating techniques were to indicate that the earth is 22,700x more ancient than your Biblically motivated surmise, would you conclude that the radiometric evidence supports your Biblical view of the age of the earth?

 
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,14:05)
Now imagine all the alterations that would occur from major perturbations over so called millions of years and you have an even more ridiculous psuedoscience than it already is.

3) How many millions of years must pass to culminate in the radiometric "alterations" you allege - resulting in your conclusion that the earth is 1/50th of 1 million years in age?

Hippity hop.

--------------
Myth: Something that never was true, and always will be.

"The truth will set you free. But not until it is finished with you."
- David Foster Wallace

"Here’s a clue. Snarky banalities are not a substitute for saying something intelligent. Write that down."
- Barry Arrington

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,11:24   

Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 03 2011,20:57)
Quote (JonF @ Dec. 03 2011,19:52)
Let's get down and dirty! Let's do some numbers!

We just dug up a fine, pristine sample of subaerial (solidified in the air) lava and we want to know how old it is. We'll use K-Ar dating because the equations are simple, although probably too complex for our friend. So we take it to the lab, and they do the measurements and report the the 40Ar/40K ratio is 0.036738. So we plug that value in our age equation:



where lambda is the total decay constant of 40K, 0.0000000005543 per year according to mainstream science.

(Oohh! Scary!1!!one!! An equation!! with a Greek letter1!!!1one And a natural logarithm11!!!!1111one11!!ONE1. It's OK, forastero, we know you can't handle such complexity.)

And the answer is ..... 542,000,000 years! Just at the beginning of the Cambrian.

But our ol' pal forastero tells us that rock is less than 6,000 years old. And that the decay constant isn't really constant. So let's investigate that. Assume the decay constant was something else when the rock solidified, and just changed to the modern value a few hundred years ago when we wouldn't notice. What change in the decay constant would produce a rock with a 40Ar/40K ratio of 0.036738 in less than 6,000 years?

10,000,000 percent. I.e., the decay constant would have to be 100,000 times larger to produce that ratio in less than 6,000 years. To be exact, in 5,420 years.

100,000 times the radiation intensity. 100,000 times the heat intensity. And that's spreading out the change over all 5,420 years. If forastero wants the change to be over a shorter period of time ... well ... even more radiation and heat intensity.

Here's a plot of how the age of my hypothetical rock would be affected by changes in the decay constant, spread out over the entire life of the rock. (Forastero: it's a log-log plot so the result is a nice straight line. I realize you don't understand any of that.)


This is a nit, but what if we suppose that the change in decay is a constant rate change over time.  The reason I suggest this is because a constant rate change is easier to explain than a massive decrease in a very short time.  (Forastero doesn't have an explanation or even the beginnings of a plan for figuring either one out, but that's not unexpected.)

For about 50-60 years it has been constant as far as we can tell, but we've only had really, really good measurements for what, 20-30 years?

So let's use forastero's number of 0.5% and say that's the change over 50 years? Everyone OK with that?

I, however, refuse to delve into the calculus this would require.  I have had a horrible row with my child and I don't feel like it.

Regardless, I can make some predictions.  Since the rate now is very slow, then the rate must have been even higher than JonF's calculated value when the rock was formed.

So, I would actually think that JonF's calculated percentage change would be the median point (roughly) and when the rock was formed the decay constant would have to be like 100,000,000 times larger and has been slowly over time.

And, at the rate we're going now, it'll only be a few more decades before the decay constant is zero and radiation will stop.  We should probably alert the NRA (no, not that NRA, the Nuclear Regulatory Agency) and tell them it's pretty much futile to build anymore fission reactors.  And tritium watches and sights... useless in just a few short decades... and you can forget about radiation therapy and radiation-based medical imaging.  

Wow.  Scary stuff...

But even weirder will be when the decay rate goes negative and atoms that previously underwent nuclear fission start fusing with random alpha, beta, and gamma particles.  That's gonna be creepy as hell.

Then, I guess that since the universe will have to have negative entropy as a whole at this point, the expansion will stop and the Big Crunch will begin.  In fact, in just another 6000-7000 years, the entire universe will be crunched beyond the point where physics can predict what's going on.

All because some clown couldn't accept that radioactive decay really is a constant.

I just thought of something else... that would explain a lot.  Since the decay rate was effectively infinite at the time of the Big Bang, then all the matter and energy in the universe was actually bound up into a single nucleus of nearly infinite proportions.  The Big Bang really was a fission explosion.

The sad part is, except for the complete lack of evidence, this actually makes more sense than what forastero has been preaching.

Again, your so caught up in psuedouniformitarianism that you insist that even the unsteadyness is steady. The fact of the matter though is that varying alterations have been found just days apart. heck you and tracy even admitted last week or so that cosmic rays have different influences in different places. The reason for these differences is due to vast variables and catalysts

The problem is that every time these decay oscillation are rediscovered, they get swept back under the rug

  
blipey



Posts: 2061
Joined: June 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,11:47   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,12:54)
Quote (blipey @ Dec. 03 2011,10:13)
Something else you've never answered:

How did you derive the growth rate in your population equation?  Surely you've had enough time to figure that out by now.  If not, there are only a couple of conclusions to reach:

1.  you have no idea where it came from so are blindly touting an equation that you don't know the meaning of.

2.  you do know how it was derived and won't tell us because you think it might destroy your argument, but you think that pretending you're correct is more important than actually being correct.

Which is it?

I dont pretend to know the exact growth rate at the beginning of time time as do the psuedoemperical evolutionists but I did provide growth rates estimated by these same evolutionists so what is your point?

My point is that--including this comment--you have never told us how the growth rate was derived.  Are you going to actually do that at any time?  My point is that you have no idea what the growth rate used in your equation means.  You have no idea where it came from.  Yet this hasn't stopped you from backing your equation.  It hasn't stopped you from saying that your equation (and specifically, the growth rate) is a very fair representation of reality.  It's hard to imagine that this assessment can be true when you have no idea where it came from.

So, instead of telling us that you you have no idea what the exact growth rate was at the beginning of time, why don't you actually answer the question that was asked?  Are you ignorant, stupid, dishonest, or all three?

I don't care what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I never asked you what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I don't believe anyone here has claimed to know what the growth rate at the beginning of time was.

So instead of sidestepping very easy questions that you have no answer for, how about trying to address things as they come?

Again, in the equation that you used, how was the growth rate derived?  Why did you use that particular number?  It's really a very easy question, almost trivial.

--------------
But I get the trick question- there isn't any such thing as one molecule of water. -JoeG

And scientists rarely test theories. -Gary Gaulin

   
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,11:50   

Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 03 2011,16:06)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,12:48)
So, is it your claim that all modern organisms are just epigenetic changes from the 'kinds' on the Noah's ark?

So, if the environment changes, say, from our modern world to living in a small boat for a year, then ANY organism I put in the condition of living in a small boat for a year will revert back to it's Noah flood form?  
 
Quote
So what is epigenetics? An epigenetic system should be heritable, self-perpetuating,
and reversible (Bonasio et al., p. 612)


That's where you want to go with this?  If not, then you need to try explaining yourself.  One line answers are not explanations.

I kept six cats in an apartment for 7 years (including one round of kittens)... they still were very diverse.

One should never invite a dog named 'puddles' into one's living room.

Go, you can answer those two questions in less than 4 words.  But you can't because you're scared.  It's OK.


edit to add reference

Actually I mentioned multiple epigenetic phenomena over several pages so why the one little snippet?

A year on a nice big boat probably wouldnt have much effect but hoarding six cats and a litter in a apartment probably would trigger enough stress hormones to make lasting epigenetic effects[/quote]
Can you PLEASE focus.  Geez, you're worse than actually herding cats (and I've actually done it).

We're not talking about all your previous stuff on epigenetics.  We are looking at a SPECIFIC claim that you JUST made.

Your claim is that all[/] variation in [b]every population of organisms on the planet is based on epigenetics.

Since, by definition, epigenetics is reversible, then we must be able to go from any modern species back to the Noah's ark version.

This is simply a requirement of your claim... unless you would like to modify your claim at this time... please answer it.

Now, you have one huge, epic issue that you cannot explain with epigenetics.

The 673 HLA-A alleles in the human species.  These are known to be non-epigenetic.  These are different alleles, not different interpretations of alleles because of environmental factors.  

You said you were happy with 2250BC as the date of Noah's flood.

You absolutely must explain how the entire human population added 1 new allele every 7 years (roughly).  Begin.

BTW: What exploded?  What do scientists say exploded?

Hmm...your incessant attempt to pigeonhole my posts could be desperation.

I said Henry Morris wrote that the Flood could be around 2250BC to 7250BC

I said the that epigenetics does depend greatly upon ancestral phenotypes but its common sense that those phenotypes are sometimes lost due genetic damage over time. But to answer your question more precisely, yes many critters do revert to what seems to be a bauplan even after eons of vicariance. Oh and good geneticists will tell you that the more ancient the critter, the more ancestral alleles it has

  
OgreMkV



Posts: 3668
Joined: Oct. 2009

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,11:54   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,11:24)
Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 03 2011,20:57)
 
This is a nit, but what if we suppose that the change in decay is a constant rate change over time.  The reason I suggest this is because a constant rate change is easier to explain than a massive decrease in a very short time.  (Forastero doesn't have an explanation or even the beginnings of a plan for figuring either one out, but that's not unexpected.)

For about 50-60 years it has been constant as far as we can tell, but we've only had really, really good measurements for what, 20-30 years?

So let's use forastero's number of 0.5% and say that's the change over 50 years? Everyone OK with that?

I, however, refuse to delve into the calculus this would require.  I have had a horrible row with my child and I don't feel like it.

Regardless, I can make some predictions.  Since the rate now is very slow, then the rate must have been even higher than JonF's calculated value when the rock was formed.

So, I would actually think that JonF's calculated percentage change would be the median point (roughly) and when the rock was formed the decay constant would have to be like 100,000,000 times larger and has been slowly over time.

And, at the rate we're going now, it'll only be a few more decades before the decay constant is zero and radiation will stop.  We should probably alert the NRA (no, not that NRA, the Nuclear Regulatory Agency) and tell them it's pretty much futile to build anymore fission reactors.  And tritium watches and sights... useless in just a few short decades... and you can forget about radiation therapy and radiation-based medical imaging.  

Wow.  Scary stuff...

But even weirder will be when the decay rate goes negative and atoms that previously underwent nuclear fission start fusing with random alpha, beta, and gamma particles.  That's gonna be creepy as hell.

Then, I guess that since the universe will have to have negative entropy as a whole at this point, the expansion will stop and the Big Crunch will begin.  In fact, in just another 6000-7000 years, the entire universe will be crunched beyond the point where physics can predict what's going on.

All because some clown couldn't accept that radioactive decay really is a constant.

I just thought of something else... that would explain a lot.  Since the decay rate was effectively infinite at the time of the Big Bang, then all the matter and energy in the universe was actually bound up into a single nucleus of nearly infinite proportions.  The Big Bang really was a fission explosion.

The sad part is, except for the complete lack of evidence, this actually makes more sense than what forastero has been preaching.

Again, your so caught up in psuedouniformitarianism that you insist that even the unsteadyness is steady. The fact of the matter though is that varying alterations have been found just days apart. heck you and tracy even admitted last week or so that cosmic rays have different influences in different places. The reason for these differences is due to vast variables and catalysts

The problem is that every time these decay oscillation are rediscovered, they get swept back under the rug

So you  are suggesting that a fundamental law of physics is pretty much random over any period of time?  Because that is what you are saying.

Just out of curiosity, would you care to explain why the massive variation that this requires has stopped within the last few hundred years and hasn't been seen since we've had instruments to measure it?

The problem is that you have zero evidence for anything that suggests decay rates are changing.  The one reference you cited has been nullified by the simple fact that no one else can get the same oscillating signal.

You have to give us a mechanism for a 100,000% change in decay rates over the last 6,000 years.

But not only that, the decay rates for all the different radioisotopes must not be different, but must vary at different rates so that they all point at the same date that they do now.  In other words, you have to explain why all of the different dating methods point to the same date.

I guess you have abandoned your Noah's Flood/kinds/epigenetics plot line.  Probably for the best.  Chemistry is not your friend.

Heh, here, explain this one goldenville strata.  That's 16,500 feet of sedimentary rock and in places it goes to 29,000 feet of hardened sedimentary rock.

Just for reference, that's a little more than 5 miles of compacted and lithified sedimentary rock.  So, your Flood has to carry all of that material (since there is no pre-Flood strata and the Earth was carved all the way down to the mantle).  

Tell me all about the saltwater aquarium system on the Ark?  As someone who keeps saltwater fish and corals, you have a lot of very delicate creatures that require very specific conditions and there is absolutely no way that they could survive in a global flood.  Therefore they were on the ark.

Would like to talk about the epigenetics that results in river dolphins, manatees, orcas, and blue whales all arising from the same 'kind' that was small enough to fit on the ark in a mere 6000 years (which, BTW is less time than scientists say that dogs have been diversifying... and they are all still the same species).  

Actually that's a pretty good question... why are dogs still dogs? You creationists keep saying that dogs aren't an example of evolution because they are still dogs.  But your system suggests that diversity is extremely rapid.  Such that, given some changes, why haven't dogs diversified radically in a few thousand years (yes, the history of several breeds goes back a long way).  So, why did they stop?

Would you care to tackle the epigenetics of flounder, clown fish, angler fish, and sea horses?  How about large polyp stony corals, small polyp stony corals, jellies, and medusa?  Are those one kind or multiple kinds?  How do you know?  

Seriously, just admit that there is no way that the Flood or the Ark could have happened and walk away.   It will feel very good to quit lying to yourself.

edit to add the obligatory: What exploded?  What do scientists say exploded?

--------------
Ignored by those who can't provide evidence for their claims.

http://skepticink.com/smilodo....retreat

   
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,12:17   

Quote (blipey @ Dec. 04 2011,11:47)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,12:54)
Quote (blipey @ Dec. 03 2011,10:13)
Something else you've never answered:

How did you derive the growth rate in your population equation?  Surely you've had enough time to figure that out by now.  If not, there are only a couple of conclusions to reach:

1.  you have no idea where it came from so are blindly touting an equation that you don't know the meaning of.

2.  you do know how it was derived and won't tell us because you think it might destroy your argument, but you think that pretending you're correct is more important than actually being correct.

Which is it?

I dont pretend to know the exact growth rate at the beginning of time time as do the psuedoemperical evolutionists but I did provide growth rates estimated by these same evolutionists so what is your point?

My point is that--including this comment--you have never told us how the growth rate was derived.  Are you going to actually do that at any time?  My point is that you have no idea what the growth rate used in your equation means.  You have no idea where it came from.  Yet this hasn't stopped you from backing your equation.  It hasn't stopped you from saying that your equation (and specifically, the growth rate) is a very fair representation of reality.  It's hard to imagine that this assessment can be true when you have no idea where it came from.

So, instead of telling us that you you have no idea what the exact growth rate was at the beginning of time, why don't you actually answer the question that was asked?  Are you ignorant, stupid, dishonest, or all three?

I don't care what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I never asked you what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I don't believe anyone here has claimed to know what the growth rate at the beginning of time was.

So instead of sidestepping very easy questions that you have no answer for, how about trying to address things as they come?

Again, in the equation that you used, how was the growth rate derived?  Why did you use that particular number?  It's really a very easy question, almost trivial.

In that case your point is pointless because unlike your religion, The Bible clearly tells us the original population of 8, over 16 grandchildren, a rough time chronology death rate etc. etc..

Only a psuedoempericist believes that can cook up exact specific birth and  death rates especially with the so called millions years that you esteem

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,12:42   

Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 04 2011,11:54)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,11:24)
 
Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 03 2011,20:57)
 
This is a nit, but what if we suppose that the change in decay is a constant rate change over time.  The reason I suggest this is because a constant rate change is easier to explain than a massive decrease in a very short time.  (Forastero doesn't have an explanation or even the beginnings of a plan for figuring either one out, but that's not unexpected.)

For about 50-60 years it has been constant as far as we can tell, but we've only had really, really good measurements for what, 20-30 years?

So let's use forastero's number of 0.5% and say that's the change over 50 years? Everyone OK with that?

I, however, refuse to delve into the calculus this would require.  I have had a horrible row with my child and I don't feel like it.

Regardless, I can make some predictions.  Since the rate now is very slow, then the rate must have been even higher than JonF's calculated value when the rock was formed.

So, I would actually think that JonF's calculated percentage change would be the median point (roughly) and when the rock was formed the decay constant would have to be like 100,000,000 times larger and has been slowly over time.

And, at the rate we're going now, it'll only be a few more decades before the decay constant is zero and radiation will stop.  We should probably alert the NRA (no, not that NRA, the Nuclear Regulatory Agency) and tell them it's pretty much futile to build anymore fission reactors.  And tritium watches and sights... useless in just a few short decades... and you can forget about radiation therapy and radiation-based medical imaging.  

Wow.  Scary stuff...

But even weirder will be when the decay rate goes negative and atoms that previously underwent nuclear fission start fusing with random alpha, beta, and gamma particles.  That's gonna be creepy as hell.

Then, I guess that since the universe will have to have negative entropy as a whole at this point, the expansion will stop and the Big Crunch will begin.  In fact, in just another 6000-7000 years, the entire universe will be crunched beyond the point where physics can predict what's going on.

All because some clown couldn't accept that radioactive decay really is a constant.

I just thought of something else... that would explain a lot.  Since the decay rate was effectively infinite at the time of the Big Bang, then all the matter and energy in the universe was actually bound up into a single nucleus of nearly infinite proportions.  The Big Bang really was a fission explosion.

The sad part is, except for the complete lack of evidence, this actually makes more sense than what forastero has been preaching.

Again, your so caught up in psuedouniformitarianism that you insist that even the unsteadyness is steady. The fact of the matter though is that varying alterations have been found just days apart. heck you and tracy even admitted last week or so that cosmic rays have different influences in different places. The reason for these differences is due to vast variables and catalysts

The problem is that every time these decay oscillation are rediscovered, they get swept back under the rug

So you  are suggesting that a fundamental law of physics is pretty much random over any period of time?  Because that is what you are saying.

Just out of curiosity, would you care to explain why the massive variation that this requires has stopped within the last few hundred years and hasn't been seen since we've had instruments to measure it?

The problem is that you have zero evidence for anything that suggests decay rates are changing.  The one reference you cited has been nullified by the simple fact that no one else can get the same oscillating signal.

You have to give us a mechanism for a 100,000% change in decay rates over the last 6,000 years.

But not only that, the decay rates for all the different radioisotopes must not be different, but must vary at different rates so that they all point at the same date that they do now.  In other words, you have to explain why all of the different dating methods point to the same date.

I guess you have abandoned your Noah's Flood/kinds/epigenetics plot line.  Probably for the best.  Chemistry is not your friend.

Heh, here, explain this one goldenville strata.  That's 16,500 feet of sedimentary rock and in places it goes to 29,000 feet of hardened sedimentary rock.

Just for reference, that's a little more than 5 miles of compacted and lithified sedimentary rock.  So, your Flood has to carry all of that material (since there is no pre-Flood strata and the Earth was carved all the way down to the mantle).  

Tell me all about the saltwater aquarium system on the Ark?  As someone who keeps saltwater fish and corals, you have a lot of very delicate creatures that require very specific conditions and there is absolutely no way that they could survive in a global flood.  Therefore they were on the ark.

Would like to talk about the epigenetics that results in river dolphins, manatees, orcas, and blue whales all arising from the same 'kind' that was small enough to fit on the ark in a mere 6000 years (which, BTW is less time than scientists say that dogs have been diversifying... and they are all still the same species).  

Actually that's a pretty good question... why are dogs still dogs? You creationists keep saying that dogs aren't an example of evolution because they are still dogs.  But your system suggests that diversity is extremely rapid.  Such that, given some changes, why haven't dogs diversified radically in a few thousand years (yes, the history of several breeds goes back a long way).  So, why did they stop?

Would you care to tackle the epigenetics of flounder, clown fish, angler fish, and sea horses?  How about large polyp stony corals, small polyp stony corals, jellies, and medusa?  Are those one kind or multiple kinds?  How do you know?  

Seriously, just admit that there is no way that the Flood or the Ark could have happened and walk away.   It will feel very good to quit lying to yourself.

edit to add the obligatory: What exploded?  What do scientists say exploded?

People with common sense and the guts to not conform to silly pantheism dont say manatees and orcas are the same kind and You have no proof whatsoever that this evolution has occurred even after billions of dollars of experimentation. Dogs breeds have diversified quickly due to inbreeding a diversity of wild and domestic dogs. All animals share the same genes yet your priest del academia cant even turn a bear into a dog.

Likewise, your isochrons are based on psuedocalibrations that dont exists and probably why JonF refuses to answer my long question about There are countless cases of discordance. Any concordance can easily be explained by the integrity and psuedoscience exemplified by Pand's thumb forum--a microcsm of evolutionary thought.

  
oldmanintheskydidntdoit



Posts: 4999
Joined: July 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,13:14   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,11:50)
But to answer your question more precisely, yes many critters do revert to what seems to be a bauplan even after eons of vicariance.

For example?

--------------
I also mentioned that He'd have to give me a thorough explanation as to *why* I must "eat human babies".
FTK

if there are even critical flaws in Gauger’s work, the evo mat narrative cannot stand
Gordon Mullings

  
blipey



Posts: 2061
Joined: June 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,14:35   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:17)
Quote (blipey @ Dec. 04 2011,11:47)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,12:54)
 
Quote (blipey @ Dec. 03 2011,10:13)
Something else you've never answered:

How did you derive the growth rate in your population equation?  Surely you've had enough time to figure that out by now.  If not, there are only a couple of conclusions to reach:

1.  you have no idea where it came from so are blindly touting an equation that you don't know the meaning of.

2.  you do know how it was derived and won't tell us because you think it might destroy your argument, but you think that pretending you're correct is more important than actually being correct.

Which is it?

I dont pretend to know the exact growth rate at the beginning of time time as do the psuedoemperical evolutionists but I did provide growth rates estimated by these same evolutionists so what is your point?

My point is that--including this comment--you have never told us how the growth rate was derived.  Are you going to actually do that at any time?  My point is that you have no idea what the growth rate used in your equation means.  You have no idea where it came from.  Yet this hasn't stopped you from backing your equation.  It hasn't stopped you from saying that your equation (and specifically, the growth rate) is a very fair representation of reality.  It's hard to imagine that this assessment can be true when you have no idea where it came from.

So, instead of telling us that you you have no idea what the exact growth rate was at the beginning of time, why don't you actually answer the question that was asked?  Are you ignorant, stupid, dishonest, or all three?

I don't care what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I never asked you what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I don't believe anyone here has claimed to know what the growth rate at the beginning of time was.

So instead of sidestepping very easy questions that you have no answer for, how about trying to address things as they come?

Again, in the equation that you used, how was the growth rate derived?  Why did you use that particular number?  It's really a very easy question, almost trivial.

In that case your point is pointless because unlike your religion, The Bible clearly tells us the original population of 8, over 16 grandchildren, a rough time chronology death rate etc. etc..

Only a psuedoempericist believes that can cook up exact specific birth and  death rates especially with the so called millions years that you esteem

So?  Still no idea where it came from?  Why did you use the number you used?  Any idea at all?  Babbling about me doesn't even begin to address the question I asked.  How about now; do you have any idea where the growth rate came from?

I find it hilarious that I specifically told you that I wasn't asking for a specific growth rate, nor did I care what it was an then you answered with this:

"Only a psuedoempericist believes that can cook up exact specific birth and  death rates"

Are you insane?

How about that growth rate derivation?  Any time soon?

--------------
But I get the trick question- there isn't any such thing as one molecule of water. -JoeG

And scientists rarely test theories. -Gary Gaulin

   
OgreMkV



Posts: 3668
Joined: Oct. 2009

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,15:20   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:42)
Again, your so caught up in psuedouniformitarianism that you insist that even the unsteadyness is steady. The fact of the matter though is that varying alterations have been found just days apart. heck you and tracy even admitted last week or so that cosmic rays have different influences in different places. The reason for these differences is due to vast variables and catalysts

The problem is that every time these decay oscillation are rediscovered, they get swept back under the rug[/quote]
So you  are suggesting that a fundamental law of physics is pretty much random over any period of time?  Because that is what you are saying.

Just out of curiosity, would you care to explain why the massive variation that this requires has stopped within the last few hundred years and hasn't been seen since we've had instruments to measure it?

The problem is that you have zero evidence for anything that suggests decay rates are changing.  The one reference you cited has been nullified by the simple fact that no one else can get the same oscillating signal.

You have to give us a mechanism for a 100,000% change in decay rates over the last 6,000 years.

But not only that, the decay rates for all the different radioisotopes must not be different, but must vary at different rates so that they all point at the same date that they do now.  In other words, you have to explain why all of the different dating methods point to the same date.

I guess you have abandoned your Noah's Flood/kinds/epigenetics plot line.  Probably for the best.  Chemistry is not your friend.

Heh, here, explain this one goldenville strata.  That's 16,500 feet of sedimentary rock and in places it goes to 29,000 feet of hardened sedimentary rock.

Just for reference, that's a little more than 5 miles of compacted and lithified sedimentary rock.  So, your Flood has to carry all of that material (since there is no pre-Flood strata and the Earth was carved all the way down to the mantle).  

Tell me all about the saltwater aquarium system on the Ark?  As someone who keeps saltwater fish and corals, you have a lot of very delicate creatures that require very specific conditions and there is absolutely no way that they could survive in a global flood.  Therefore they were on the ark.

Would like to talk about the epigenetics that results in river dolphins, manatees, orcas, and blue whales all arising from the same 'kind' that was small enough to fit on the ark in a mere 6000 years (which, BTW is less time than scientists say that dogs have been diversifying... and they are all still the same species).  

Actually that's a pretty good question... why are dogs still dogs? You creationists keep saying that dogs aren't an example of evolution because they are still dogs.  But your system suggests that diversity is extremely rapid.  Such that, given some changes, why haven't dogs diversified radically in a few thousand years (yes, the history of several breeds goes back a long way).  So, why did they stop?

Would you care to tackle the epigenetics of flounder, clown fish, angler fish, and sea horses?  How about large polyp stony corals, small polyp stony corals, jellies, and medusa?  Are those one kind or multiple kinds?  How do you know?  

Seriously, just admit that there is no way that the Flood or the Ark could have happened and walk away.   It will feel very good to quit lying to yourself.

edit to add the obligatory: What exploded?  What do scientists say exploded?[/quote]
People with common sense and the guts to not conform to silly pantheism dont say manatees and orcas are the same kind and You have no proof whatsoever that this evolution has occurred even after billions of dollars of experimentation. Dogs breeds have diversified quickly due to inbreeding a diversity of wild and domestic dogs. All animals share the same genes yet your priest del academia cant even turn a bear into a dog.

Likewise, your isochrons are based on psuedocalibrations that dont exists and probably why JonF refuses to answer my long question about There are countless cases of discordance. Any concordance can easily be explained by the integrity and psuedoscience exemplified by Pand's thumb forum--a microcsm of evolutionary thought.

So you had to have a proto-manatee AND a proto-orca on the ark as separate kinds.

I think that's the most information we've EVER gotten about a kind.

What about the jelly, SPS, LPS, medusa?  Is that multiple kids or one kind?

How about the trout, flounder, clownfish, seahorse?  multiple kinds or one kind?

Just out of curiosity, was the proto-manatee a salt (a-la Trichechus manatus or freshwater only (a-la Trichechus inunguis) or is that an epigenetic change?  What about the Dugong dugon and the Hydrodamalis gigas?  Are those the same kind as the manatees or are they different?

So, a single manatee eats about 10% of its body mass per day.  When born a baby masses about 30 kilos, a full adult can range from 500 kilos to over 1700 kilos.  Let's assume that Noah took juveniles that are not full grown, but would be when about the time they disembarked... I'll be generous and say 100 kilos.  So a pair is eating 20 kilos of plant material per day (assuming that they don't grow during the trip).

That's 20*365 = 7300 kilos or 7 metric tons of fresh plant matter over the year long ark 'journey'.  

That is just one 'kind' and, for all intents and purposes, not a very important 'kind'.

BTW: Just out of curiosity, what do you say exploded to cause the Big Bang and what do scientists say exploded to cause the Big Bang?    

The really sad part is it takes less than 5 seconds to look this up, but he won't do it, because it will instantly show him he is WRONG... can't have that.  Like the old saying, "It is better to remain silent and be thought an idiot than to open one's mouth and remove all doubt."

--------------
Ignored by those who can't provide evidence for their claims.

http://skepticink.com/smilodo....retreat

   
Henry J



Posts: 5786
Joined: Mar. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,15:58   

Quote
BTW: Just out of curiosity, what do you say exploded to cause the Big Bang and what do scientists say exploded to cause the Big Bang?

It was big, and it went bang. What else does one need to know? :p

  
JonF



Posts: 634
Joined: Feb. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,18:33   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,13:42)

Likewise, your isochrons are based on psuedocalibrations that dont exists and probably why JonF refuses to answer my long question about There are countless cases of discordance.

I haven't seen any such question. You did ask how isochrons work and I pointed out that this is a terrible medium for teaching such things, and gave links (several times) to excellent explanations.

How ya doin' on telling me which of those quotes is your "cited ... proof that contamination is a major problem"?

  
JonF



Posts: 634
Joined: Feb. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,18:41   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:04)
 
Quote (JonF @ Dec. 03 2011,15:33)
   
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,14:05)
       
Quote (JonF @ Dec. 03 2011,12:02)
    ?  
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 02 2011,13:34)

Yeah about five times now but here it goes again: A little contamination here and a little change in decay rates there day after day over many millennia leads to exponential inaccuracies and radiomagic dating.

Nope, if there were changes in radioactive decay rates they would not compound. As proven by the simple first-year algebra that I posted and you were unable to understand.

And contamination is not a problem in the vast majority of methods in use over the last few decades, because if it exists it is detected as part of the method.

Before you criticize, you need to learn what you are criticizing.

I have already cited you proof that contamination is a major problem.

No, you have not even attempted to cite proof that contamination is a problem. Measurements, sonny-boy, Data. The dreaded mathematical analysis. That's what's required. Not vague allegations without support.

Plus, anyone claiming that contamination is a problem has to explain the big picture; the consilience between wildly different methods, radiometric and non-radiometric. Oh, "They're all liars in a world-wide conspiracy" isn't an explanation.

     
Quote
you and reciprocal Bill under the impression that this small percentage change is a single event but  I  cited findings of multiple changes in decay rates occurring even within one week's time.  Now imagine all the alterations that would occur from major perturbations over so called millions of years and you have an even more ridiculous psuedoscience than it already is.

{ETA} You haven't cited any instances of decay rates changes under terrestrial conditions. All the physics we know, and it's a lot, tells us that there has been no noticeable, much less significant, change in decay rates over the last 13-ish billion years.

"Perturbations" of the magnitude your fantasy requires would leave traces, such as a barren Earth sterilized twice over by radiation and heat. Even the few creationists who understand the issue admit this: RATE in Review: Unresolved Problems.

And, as I have pointed out before, "perturbations" well under a percent would leave traces that we've looked for and haven't seen: The Constancy of Constants, The Constancy of Constants, Part 2. Got the stones to read and comprehend those links?

Finally, your idiotic idea that small changes in radioactive decay rates would have a large effect on our dates is, well, idiotic. A 1% change in decay rate would yield approximately a 1% change in the calculated age. Your compounding idea is just silly.

See how y'all just sweep the good stuff under the rug to sensationalize your psuedososcience.

Here's some more to sweep

Peter Sturrock, Stanford professor emeritus of applied physics “ knew from long experience that the intensity of the barrage of neutrinos the sun continuously sends racing toward Earth varies on a regular basis as the sun itself revolves and shows a different face, like a slower version of the revolving light on a police car. His advice to Purdue: Look for evidence that the changes in radioactive decay on Earth vary with the rotation of the sun. “That’s what I suggested. And that’s what we have done.?&#65533;
http://www.symmetrymagazine.org/breakin....lements

Power spectrum analyses of nuclear decay rate Astroparticle Physics
Volume 34, Issue 3, October 2010 Stanford University
Ra decay reported by an experiment performed at the Physikalisch–Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) in Germany. All three data sets exhibit the same primary frequency mode consisting of an annual period. Additional spectral comparisons of the data to local ambient temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, Earth–Sun distance, and their reciprocals were performed. No common phases were found between the factors investigated and those exhibited by the nuclear decay data. This suggests that either a combination of factors was responsible, or that, if it was a single factor,
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science....0001234

Purdue paediatrician Ephraim Fischbach. “What our data are showing is that the half lives, or the decay constants, are apparently not fundamental constants of nature, but appear to be affected by solar activity,?&#65533; “To summarize, what we are showing is that the decay constant is not really a constant.?&#65533;
http://physicsworld.com/cws........s....08

Evidence for Correlations Between Nuclear Decay Rates and Earth-Sun Distance Jere H. Jenkins, Ephraim Fischbach Purdue University
http://arxiv.org/abs........08.3283

“[Jenkins et al.] discovered that a spike in X-ray flux associated with the flare roughly coincided with a dip in the manganese’s decay rate. Two days later, an X-ray spike from a second solar flare coincided with another, though very faint, dip. Then, on 17 December, a third X-ray spike accompanied yet another dip, which was more prominent (see above figure).?&#65533;
http://physicsworld.com/cws........s....08

Jenkins et al. found fluctuations in radium, which is a popular dating isotope and often used with lead and a daughter element of uranium  
http://arxiv.org/abs........08.3283

“They [Jenkins et al.] discovered that a spike in X-ray flux associated with the flare roughly coincided with a dip in the manganese’s decay rate. Two days later, an X-ray spike from a second solar flare coincided with another, though very faint, dip. Then, on 17 December, a third X-ray spike accompanied yet another dip, which was more prominent (see above figure).?&#65533;
http://physicsworld.com/cws........s....08

The Sun is changing the rate of radioactive decay, and breaking the rules of chemistry
http://io9.com/5619954....emistry
“It's one of the most basic concepts in all of chemistry: Radioactive elements decay at a onstant rate. If that weren't the case, carbon-14 dating wouldn't tell us anything reliable about the age of archaeological materials, and every chemotherapy treatment would be a gamble. It's such a fundamental assumption that scientists don't even bother testing it anymore. That's why researchers had to stumble upon this discovery in the most unlikely of ways……That's when they [Purdue University] discovered something strange. The data produced gave random numbers for the individual atoms, yes, but the overall decay wasn't constant, flying in the face of the accepted rules of chemistry.?&#65533;

DO RADIOACTIVE HALF-LIVES VARY WITH THE EARTH-TO-SUN DISTANCE? Submitted on 26 Aug 2011
Abstract
Recently, Jenkins, Fischbach and collaborators have claimed evidence that radioactive half-lives vary systematically over a ?0.1% range as a function of the oscillating distance between the Earth and the Sun, based on multi-year activity measurements. We have avoided the time-dependent instabilities to which such measurements are susceptible by directly measuring the half-life of 198Au (t1/2 = 2.695 d) on seven occasions spread out in time to cover the complete range of Earth-Sun distances. We observe no systematic  oscillations in half-life and can set an upper limit on their amplitude of ?0.02%

Cosmic-ray-induced fission of heavy nuclides: Possible influence on apparent 238U-fission track ages of extraterrestrial samples                                       Abstract The rates of cosmic-ray-induced fission of U, Th, Bi, Pb, and Au in mineral samples as a function of burial depth in the lunar surface layer are calculated using the available experimental particle flux and cross section data. Theoretical correction factors are given for apparent fission track ages of extraterrestrial samples of different burial depths which were exposed to cosmic rays for various time fractions of their solidification age. Samples having typical lunar heavy element contents can yield apparent fission track ages which are too high by a factor of up to ?13 due to cosmic-ray-induced fission. The interference may be neglected, if the ratio of exposure age to solidification age remains ? 5 × 10?3. The calculations show, that the induced fission of Bi, Pb, and Au which are known to have high meteoritic abundances may dominate spontaneous 238U-fission in long-time exposed meteorites of low U and Th contents.

Implications for C-14 Dating of the Jenkins-Fischbach Effect and Possible Fluctuation of the Solar Fusion Rate
(Submitted on 28 Aug 2008 (v1),
Abstract: It has long been known that the C-14 calibration curve, which relates the known age of tree rings to their apparent C-14 ages, includes a number of "wiggles" which clearly are not experimental errors or other random effects. A reasonable interpretation of these wiggles is that they indicate that the Sun's fusion "furnace" is pulsating, perhaps for reasons similar to that of the Cepheid variables, albeit under a very different regime of pressure and temperature. If this speculation is correct, we are seeing the heartbeat of the Sun-the C-14 calibration curve is the Sun's "neutrino-cardiogram." Elevated neutrino flux during a relatively brief period would have two effects: (1) a surge in C-14 fraction in the atmosphere, which would make biological samples that were alive during the surge appear to be "too young" (2) depletion of C-14 in the biotic matter already dead at the time of the surge; this is a consequence of the recently discovered Jenkins-Fischbach effect, which is an observed correlation between nuclear decay rates and solar activity or Earth-Sun distance.  In addition, the precise value at any given time of the "half-life" of any unstable isotope-including C-14-must now be considered in doubt, since the Jenkins-Fischbach effect implies that we may no longer view the decay rate of an isotope as intrinsically governed and therefore a constant of Nature.

Mineral isochrons and isotopic fingerprinting: Pitfalls and promises Geology; January 2005; v. 33; no. 1; p. 29-32; 2005 Geological Society of America http://geology.geoscienceworld.org/cgi........i....29
Abstract: The determination of accurate and precise isochron ages for igneous rocks requires that the initial isotope ratios of the analyzed minerals are identical at the time of eruption or emplacement. Studies of young volcanic rocks at the mineral scale have shown this assumption to be invalid in many instances. Variations in initial isotope ratios can result in erroneous or imprecise ages. Nevertheless, it is possible for initial isotope ratio variation to be obscured in a statistically acceptable isochron. Independent age determinations and critical appraisal of petrography are needed to evaluate isotope data. If initial isotope ratio variability can be demonstrated, however, it can be used to constrain petrogenetic pathways.

Sorry, I should have written "You haven't cited any instances of significant decay rates changes under terrestrial conditions." It's questionable whether those perturbations really exist, scientists are still investigating. But if, for the sake of argument, we suppose that they do exist, they're insignificant. There's lots of good reasons I've already cited for believing that there has been no significant change in decay rates over the last 13-ish billion years. You can't extrapolate those perturbations over eight or more orders of magnitude without ignoring a vast body of evidence. Of course, that's what you do, but the reality-based community is different.

Again, "perturbations" of the magnitude your fantasy requires would leave traces, such as a barren Earth sterilized twice over by radiation and heat. Even the few creationists who understand the issue admit this: RATE in Review: Unresolved Problems.

And, as I have pointed out before, "perturbations" well under a percent would leave traces that we've looked for and haven't seen: The Constancy of Constants, The Constancy of Constants, Part 2. Got the stones to read and comprehend those links? Guess not.

Finally, your idiotic idea that small changes in radioactive decay rates would have a large effect on our dates is, well, idiotic. A 1% change in decay rate would yield approximately a 1% change in the calculated age. Your compounding idea is just silly, as I've proven using very basic mathematics. A junior high student should be able to comprehend it. Guess you can't.

Screaming "Perturbations!" over and over again isn't going to make your fantasy real. In the real world we deal with evidence, and we deal with all the evidence.

  
JonF



Posts: 634
Joined: Feb. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,18:44   

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:24)
Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 03 2011,20:57)
Quote (JonF @ Dec. 03 2011,19:52)
Let's get down and dirty! Let's do some numbers!

We just dug up a fine, pristine sample of subaerial (solidified in the air) lava and we want to know how old it is. We'll use K-Ar dating because the equations are simple, although probably too complex for our friend. So we take it to the lab, and they do the measurements and report the the 40Ar/40K ratio is 0.036738. So we plug that value in our age equation:



where lambda is the total decay constant of 40K, 0.0000000005543 per year according to mainstream science.

(Oohh! Scary!1!!one!! An equation!! with a Greek letter1!!!1one And a natural logarithm11!!!!1111one11!!ONE1. It's OK, forastero, we know you can't handle such complexity.)

And the answer is ..... 542,000,000 years! Just at the beginning of the Cambrian.

But our ol' pal forastero tells us that rock is less than 6,000 years old. And that the decay constant isn't really constant. So let's investigate that. Assume the decay constant was something else when the rock solidified, and just changed to the modern value a few hundred years ago when we wouldn't notice. What change in the decay constant would produce a rock with a 40Ar/40K ratio of 0.036738 in less than 6,000 years?

10,000,000 percent. I.e., the decay constant would have to be 100,000 times larger to produce that ratio in less than 6,000 years. To be exact, in 5,420 years.

100,000 times the radiation intensity. 100,000 times the heat intensity. And that's spreading out the change over all 5,420 years. If forastero wants the change to be over a shorter period of time ... well ... even more radiation and heat intensity.

Here's a plot of how the age of my hypothetical rock would be affected by changes in the decay constant, spread out over the entire life of the rock. (Forastero: it's a log-log plot so the result is a nice straight line. I realize you don't understand any of that.)


This is a nit, but what if we suppose that the change in decay is a constant rate change over time.  The reason I suggest this is because a constant rate change is easier to explain than a massive decrease in a very short time.  (Forastero doesn't have an explanation or even the beginnings of a plan for figuring either one out, but that's not unexpected.)

For about 50-60 years it has been constant as far as we can tell, but we've only had really, really good measurements for what, 20-30 years?

So let's use forastero's number of 0.5% and say that's the change over 50 years? Everyone OK with that?

I, however, refuse to delve into the calculus this would require.  I have had a horrible row with my child and I don't feel like it.

Regardless, I can make some predictions.  Since the rate now is very slow, then the rate must have been even higher than JonF's calculated value when the rock was formed.

So, I would actually think that JonF's calculated percentage change would be the median point (roughly) and when the rock was formed the decay constant would have to be like 100,000,000 times larger and has been slowly over time.

And, at the rate we're going now, it'll only be a few more decades before the decay constant is zero and radiation will stop.  We should probably alert the NRA (no, not that NRA, the Nuclear Regulatory Agency) and tell them it's pretty much futile to build anymore fission reactors.  And tritium watches and sights... useless in just a few short decades... and you can forget about radiation therapy and radiation-based medical imaging.  

Wow.  Scary stuff...

But even weirder will be when the decay rate goes negative and atoms that previously underwent nuclear fission start fusing with random alpha, beta, and gamma particles.  That's gonna be creepy as hell.

Then, I guess that since the universe will have to have negative entropy as a whole at this point, the expansion will stop and the Big Crunch will begin.  In fact, in just another 6000-7000 years, the entire universe will be crunched beyond the point where physics can predict what's going on.

All because some clown couldn't accept that radioactive decay really is a constant.

I just thought of something else... that would explain a lot.  Since the decay rate was effectively infinite at the time of the Big Bang, then all the matter and energy in the universe was actually bound up into a single nucleus of nearly infinite proportions.  The Big Bang really was a fission explosion.

The sad part is, except for the complete lack of evidence, this actually makes more sense than what forastero has been preaching.

Again, your so caught up in psuedouniformitarianism that you insist that even the unsteadyness is steady. The fact of the matter though is that varying alterations have been found just days apart. heck you and tracy even admitted last week or so that cosmic rays have different influences in different places. The reason for these differences is due to vast variables and catalysts

The problem is that every time these decay oscillation are rediscovered, they get swept back under the rug

Nobody's interested in meaningless mumbo-jumbo. "Vast variables and catalysts"?? Sheesh, are you really that brain damaged?

Cosmic rays have more effect out in space than they do on Earth, behind the solar wind and magnetosphere and atmosphere. That's irrelevant to radiometric dating.

  
JohnW



Posts: 3217
Joined: Aug. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,19:25   

There's no evidence that either can produce the effects you want , but let's suppose you can pin your hopes on cosmic rays and/or distance to the Sun affecting decay rates in the way you'd like:

How much life would survive if the cosmic-ray flux at the Earth's surface was 100,000 times higher?

How much life would survive if the Earth was 100,000 times, or even 100 times, closer to the sun?

Why did the radioisotope power plants on the Galileo and Cassini probes work as expected?

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Math is just a language of reality. Its a waste of time to know it. - Robert Byers

There isn't any probability that the letter d is in the word "mathematics"...  The correct answer would be "not even 0" - JoeG

  
Tracy P. Hamilton



Posts: 1239
Joined: May 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,19:52   

Quote (JohnW @ Dec. 04 2011,19:25)
There's no evidence that either can produce the effects you want , but let's suppose you can pin your hopes on cosmic rays and/or distance to the Sun affecting decay rates in the way you'd like:

How much life would survive if the cosmic-ray flux at the Earth's surface was 100,000 times higher?

How much life would survive if the Earth was 100,000 times, or even 100 times, closer to the sun?

Why did the radioisotope power plants on the Galileo and Cassini probes work as expected?

I wonder if the nitwit knows that a manned mission to Mars is not feasible because the cosmic rays in space are extremely likely to cause cancer, down here not so much.

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"Following what I just wrote about fitness, you’re taking refuge in what we see in the world."  PaV

"The simple equation F = MA leads to the concept of four-dimensional space." GilDodgen

"We have no brain, I don't, for thinking." Robert Byers

  
OgreMkV



Posts: 3668
Joined: Oct. 2009

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,19:56   

Voyager 1 has three Multihundred-Watt radioisotope thermoelectric generators (MHW RTG). Each RTG has 24 pressed plutonium oxide spheres; the heat from the spheres generates approximately 157 watts of power (at launch) - 470 watts total from the three RTGs. The power output of the RTGs declines over time, but Voyager 1's RTGs will allow operations to continue until at least 2025.  (from wikipedia Voyager 1

Here's your chance foraster.  What do you predict the change in lifespan of the RTGs on Voyager 1 will be?  Use whatever method you like, but show your work.

Your 0.5% estimated difference would result in the lifespan of the RTGs being off by 3 months.

To meet the requirements of changing the age of the universe to under 10,000 years would mean that the RTGs actually ran out of power 3 hours after launch.

You keep complaining that we assume that constants are constant and rates of change are constant and that things work the same way now as they did a hundred years ago.

You, however, are a hypocrite... because you believe all that too.  You don't pray that gasoline is still combustible in the morning when you start your car.  You don't worry about whether copper is still a conductor when you flip your computer on in the morning.  You think nothing of subjecting yourself to a dental X-ray that, by your thinking, could melt your entire skull.

But when science disagrees with your beliefs, science has to go.  Which is the height of stupidity.  Science and the assumption that physics and chemistry work the same way all the time all over the universe is so fundamental, it's not an assumption.  It's a fact.  If those things weren't the same, then we would be living in a crap shoot every second of our lives.  What if oxygen atoms suddenly had a much higher or weaker electronegativity?  What if all the radioactives in the Earth's core suddenly ramped back up to your 100,000% decay rate?  What if...

We don't have to worry about them.  Because it won't happen.

But here's your chance, show your work and calculate, based on all the various complaints you've made so far, the remaining lifespan of the Voyager RTGs.

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Ignored by those who can't provide evidence for their claims.

http://skepticink.com/smilodo....retreat

   
Lou FCD



Posts: 5455
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,20:44   

Yeah, yeah, whatever. The real question is Who was carrying all the goddamned VD on the ark???

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“Why do creationists have such a hard time with commas?

Linky“. ~ Steve Story, Legend

   
Henry J



Posts: 5786
Joined: Mar. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,21:35   

Quote (Lou FCD @ Dec. 04 2011,19:44)
Yeah, yeah, whatever. The real question is Who was carrying all the goddamned VD on the ark???

Maybe it was the ark-nemesis?

  
OgreMkV



Posts: 3668
Joined: Oct. 2009

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 04 2011,22:23   

Quote (Lou FCD @ Dec. 04 2011,20:44)
Yeah, yeah, whatever. The real question is Who was carrying all the goddamned VD on the ark???

Ooo... oooh.. me... me... me...

All the VDs were caused by epigenetics when Lot slept with his own daughters... because that's just not right... unless you're from Vidor, TX... where foreplay is "Hey sis, you awake?"

--------------
Ignored by those who can't provide evidence for their claims.

http://skepticink.com/smilodo....retreat

   
Erasmus, FCD



Posts: 6349
Joined: June 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,13:42   

Quote (Henry J @ Dec. 04 2011,22:35)
Quote (Lou FCD @ Dec. 04 2011,19:44)
Yeah, yeah, whatever. The real question is Who was carrying all the goddamned VD on the ark???

Maybe it was the ark-nemesis?



LOLOMG this is one of the dumbest creobots evar

hey fourassoclast maybe you should submit a paper to a tropical agrobionomics journal on how during special non-materialist miracle instances humans can withstand enormous pathogen loads, truly with the hand of teh lard man is a fricking antiobiotic machine.  for real, YHWH is like "Fucking pow" and all of a sudden each moffocka on the ark is a vector for fifty or a hundred VDs each, sometimes they have the same shit different strain namsayin, little frontpantsloading of diversity to fuck with athiest drawinists in a few score centuries hehehehehe that crazy baby jesus

shit sounds like science to me troll-pus

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You're obviously illiterate as hell. Peach, bro.-FtK

Finding something hard to believe based on the evidence, is science.-JoeG

the odds of getting some loathsome taint are low-- Gordon E Mullings Manjack Heights Montserrat

I work on molecular systems with pathway charts and such.-Giggles

  
Erasmus, FCD



Posts: 6349
Joined: June 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,13:44   



why is this not this muppets avatar is what i wanna know

--------------
You're obviously illiterate as hell. Peach, bro.-FtK

Finding something hard to believe based on the evidence, is science.-JoeG

the odds of getting some loathsome taint are low-- Gordon E Mullings Manjack Heights Montserrat

I work on molecular systems with pathway charts and such.-Giggles

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,15:10   

Quote (OgreMkV @ Dec. 04 2011,15:20)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:42)
Again, your so caught up in psuedouniformitarianism that you insist that even the unsteadyness is steady. The fact of the matter though is that varying alterations have been found just days apart. heck you and tracy even admitted last week or so that cosmic rays have different influences in different places. The reason for these differences is due to vast variables and catalysts

The problem is that every time these decay oscillation are rediscovered, they get swept back under the rug

So you  are suggesting that a fundamental law of physics is pretty much random over any period of time?  Because that is what you are saying.

Just out of curiosity, would you care to explain why the massive variation that this requires has stopped within the last few hundred years and hasn't been seen since we've had instruments to measure it?

The problem is that you have zero evidence for anything that suggests decay rates are changing.  The one reference you cited has been nullified by the simple fact that no one else can get the same oscillating signal.

You have to give us a mechanism for a 100,000% change in decay rates over the last 6,000 years.

But not only that, the decay rates for all the different radioisotopes must not be different, but must vary at different rates so that they all point at the same date that they do now.  In other words, you have to explain why all of the different dating methods point to the same date.

I guess you have abandoned your Noah's Flood/kinds/epigenetics plot line.  Probably for the best.  Chemistry is not your friend.

Heh, here, explain this one goldenville strata.  That's 16,500 feet of sedimentary rock and in places it goes to 29,000 feet of hardened sedimentary rock.

Just for reference, that's a little more than 5 miles of compacted and lithified sedimentary rock.  So, your Flood has to carry all of that material (since there is no pre-Flood strata and the Earth was carved all the way down to the mantle).  

Tell me all about the saltwater aquarium system on the Ark?  As someone who keeps saltwater fish and corals, you have a lot of very delicate creatures that require very specific conditions and there is absolutely no way that they could survive in a global flood.  Therefore they were on the ark.

Would like to talk about the epigenetics that results in river dolphins, manatees, orcas, and blue whales all arising from the same 'kind' that was small enough to fit on the ark in a mere 6000 years (which, BTW is less time than scientists say that dogs have been diversifying... and they are all still the same species).  

Actually that's a pretty good question... why are dogs still dogs? You creationists keep saying that dogs aren't an example of evolution because they are still dogs.  But your system suggests that diversity is extremely rapid.  Such that, given some changes, why haven't dogs diversified radically in a few thousand years (yes, the history of several breeds goes back a long way).  So, why did they stop?

Would you care to tackle the epigenetics of flounder, clown fish, angler fish, and sea horses?  How about large polyp stony corals, small polyp stony corals, jellies, and medusa?  Are those one kind or multiple kinds?  How do you know?  

Seriously, just admit that there is no way that the Flood or the Ark could have happened and walk away.   It will feel very good to quit lying to yourself.

edit to add the obligatory: What exploded?  What do scientists say exploded?[/quote]
People with common sense and the guts to not conform to silly pantheism dont say manatees and orcas are the same kind and You have no proof whatsoever that this evolution has occurred even after billions of dollars of experimentation. Dogs breeds have diversified quickly due to inbreeding a diversity of wild and domestic dogs. All animals share the same genes yet your priest del academia cant even turn a bear into a dog.

Likewise, your isochrons are based on psuedocalibrations that dont exists and probably why JonF refuses to answer my long question about There are countless cases of discordance. Any concordance can easily be explained by the integrity and psuedoscience exemplified by Pand's thumb forum--a microcsm of evolutionary thought.[/quote]
So you had to have a proto-manatee AND a proto-orca on the ark as separate kinds.

I think that's the most information we've EVER gotten about a kind.

What about the jelly, SPS, LPS, medusa?  Is that multiple kids or one kind?

How about the trout, flounder, clownfish, seahorse?  multiple kinds or one kind?

Just out of curiosity, was the proto-manatee a salt (a-la Trichechus manatus or freshwater only (a-la Trichechus inunguis) or is that an epigenetic change?  What about the Dugong dugon and the Hydrodamalis gigas?  Are those the same kind as the manatees or are they different?

So, a single manatee eats about 10% of its body mass per day.  When born a baby masses about 30 kilos, a full adult can range from 500 kilos to over 1700 kilos.  Let's assume that Noah took juveniles that are not full grown, but would be when about the time they disembarked... I'll be generous and say 100 kilos.  So a pair is eating 20 kilos of plant material per day (assuming that they don't grow during the trip).

That's 20*365 = 7300 kilos or 7 metric tons of fresh plant matter over the year long ark 'journey'.  

Tell me all about the saltwater aquarium system on the Ark?  As someone who keeps saltwater fish and corals, you have a lot of very delicate creatures that require very specific conditions and there is absolutely no way that they could survive in a global flood.  Therefore they were on the ark.

That is just one 'kind' and, for all intents and purposes, not a very important 'kind'.

BTW: Just out of curiosity, what do you say exploded to cause the Big Bang and what do scientists say exploded to cause the Big Bang?    

The really sad part is it takes less than 5 seconds to look this up, but he won't do it, because it will instantly show him he is WRONG... can't have that.  Like the old saying, "It is better to remain silent and be thought an idiot than to open one's mouth and remove all doubt."

First of all, your interpretations of the Bible is as limited as your science. Aquatic animals were not on the ark.

Secondly, secondly scientists believe most aquatic animals began in freshwater and acquired a tolerance for saltwater as the oceans slowly built up salinity. Btw, this ocean formation seems in good harmony with the Flood. Science also tells us that animals in the past were much more genetically diverse so it is my belief that the first aquatic animals were euryhaline and lost some of there. As they say, if you dont use it you loose it.

As for Big Bang, your own links that you send me to assume nuclearsynthesis. In my opinion, it was a supernatural explosion that is still beyond human understanding.

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,15:17   

No STDs on the ark in my opinion but it is very possible since sin and bestiality was rampant that even some of the animals could have been carrying them.

On the other hand  many so called blood sucking pests have adapted from nectar to blood due to perturbations in their ecology but that might not be all bad since mosquitoes probably immunize us a bit.

On a side note, there is some recent evidence of STDs spreading from blood sucking insects

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,15:23   

Quote (blipey @ Dec. 04 2011,14:35)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,12:17)
Quote (blipey @ Dec. 04 2011,11:47)
 
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,12:54)
 
Quote (blipey @ Dec. 03 2011,10:13)
Something else you've never answered:

How did you derive the growth rate in your population equation?  Surely you've had enough time to figure that out by now.  If not, there are only a couple of conclusions to reach:

1.  you have no idea where it came from so are blindly touting an equation that you don't know the meaning of.

2.  you do know how it was derived and won't tell us because you think it might destroy your argument, but you think that pretending you're correct is more important than actually being correct.

Which is it?

I dont pretend to know the exact growth rate at the beginning of time time as do the psuedoemperical evolutionists but I did provide growth rates estimated by these same evolutionists so what is your point?

My point is that--including this comment--you have never told us how the growth rate was derived.  Are you going to actually do that at any time?  My point is that you have no idea what the growth rate used in your equation means.  You have no idea where it came from.  Yet this hasn't stopped you from backing your equation.  It hasn't stopped you from saying that your equation (and specifically, the growth rate) is a very fair representation of reality.  It's hard to imagine that this assessment can be true when you have no idea where it came from.

So, instead of telling us that you you have no idea what the exact growth rate was at the beginning of time, why don't you actually answer the question that was asked?  Are you ignorant, stupid, dishonest, or all three?

I don't care what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I never asked you what the growth rate was at the beginning of time.  I don't believe anyone here has claimed to know what the growth rate at the beginning of time was.

So instead of sidestepping very easy questions that you have no answer for, how about trying to address things as they come?

Again, in the equation that you used, how was the growth rate derived?  Why did you use that particular number?  It's really a very easy question, almost trivial.

In that case your point is pointless because unlike your religion, The Bible clearly tells us the original population of 8, over 16 grandchildren, a rough time chronology death rate etc. etc..

Only a psuedoempericist believes that can cook up exact specific birth and  death rates especially with the so called millions years that you esteem

So?  Still no idea where it came from?  Why did you use the number you used?  Any idea at all?  Babbling about me doesn't even begin to address the question I asked.  How about now; do you have any idea where the growth rate came from?

I find it hilarious that I specifically told you that I wasn't asking for a specific growth rate, nor did I care what it was an then you answered with this:

"Only a psuedoempericist believes that can cook up exact specific birth and  death rates"

Are you insane?

How about that growth rate derivation?  Any time soon?

Fyi, I used growth rates that evolutionists use for early man but you hastily dismiss it merely because you thought it came from me

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,15:28   

Quote (JonF @ Dec. 04 2011,18:33)
Quote (forastero @ Dec. 04 2011,13:42)

Likewise, your isochrons are based on psuedocalibrations that dont exists and probably why JonF refuses to answer my long question about There are countless cases of discordance.

I haven't seen any such question. You did ask how isochrons work and I pointed out that this is a terrible medium for teaching such things, and gave links (several times) to excellent explanations.

How ya doin' on telling me which of those quotes is your "cited ... proof that contamination is a major problem"?

Arnt you the same fella that insisted that isochrons are calibrated with Milankovitch cycles? I dismissed it twice but you never responded


As for contamination here is a good but I will look for some more
Mineral isochrons and isotopic fingerprinting: Pitfalls and promises Geology; January 2005; v. 33; no. 1; p. 29-32; 2005 Geological Society of America http://geology.geoscienceworld.org/cgi........i....29
Abstract: The determination of accurate and precise isochron ages for igneous rocks requires that the initial isotope ratios of the analyzed minerals are identical at the time of eruption or emplacement. Studies of young volcanic rocks at the mineral scale have shown this assumption to be invalid in many instances. Variations in initial isotope ratios can result in erroneous or imprecise ages. Nevertheless, it is possible for initial isotope ratio variation to be obscured in a statistically acceptable isochron. Independent age determinations and critical appraisal of petrography are needed to evaluate isotope data. .

  
forastero



Posts: 458
Joined: Oct. 2011

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,15:36   

Quote (Tracy P. Hamilton @ Dec. 04 2011,19:52)
Quote (JohnW @ Dec. 04 2011,19:25)
There's no evidence that either can produce the effects you want , but let's suppose you can pin your hopes on cosmic rays and/or distance to the Sun affecting decay rates in the way you'd like:

How much life would survive if the cosmic-ray flux at the Earth's surface was 100,000 times higher?

How much life would survive if the Earth was 100,000 times, or even 100 times, closer to the sun?

Why did the radioisotope power plants on the Galileo and Cassini probes work as expected?

I wonder if the nitwit knows that a manned mission to Mars is not feasible because the cosmic rays in space are extremely likely to cause cancer, down here not so much.

Cancer Rates Rise and Fall with Cosmic Rays
http://www.universetoday.com/12253....ic-rays


...and its also common knowledge that cosmogenic radioisotope accumulate at at different rates in terrestrial time and space

  
Reciprocating Bill



Posts: 4265
Joined: Oct. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Dec. 05 2011,16:02   

Forastero, as you are discussing dating techniques, and you are Bilblical warrior, a veritable caged Kong with the logos, I know you are eager to respond to the following:

1) Given your concession that the errors you cite in radiometric dating of the age of the earth (such as the above) do NOT account for the entirety of the 227,000 to 1 ratio of the scientific estimate of the age of the earth versus your wishful fiction, what percentage of error DO you allege?

Do errors in radiometric dating result in an overstatement of the age of the earth by 1%, in which case the earth is actually 4.49 billion years old?  By 10%, indicating an earth of 4.08 billion years? By 50%, giving 2.27 billion years, more than 110,000x your Biblically derived age? By 90 percent, indicating an earth that is 22,700x older than your wishful fiction?

Whichever number you arrive at, please justify it in terms of the literature you cite. To date the most generous estimate of possible error is 1/2 of 1%, so you've a long way to go.

2) If corrected dating techniques were to indicate that the earth is 22,700x more ancient than your Biblically motivated surmise, would you conclude that the radiometric evidence supports your Biblical view of the age of the earth?

Quote (forastero @ Dec. 03 2011,14:05)
Now imagine all the alterations that would occur from major perturbations over so called millions of years and you have an even more ridiculous psuedoscience than it already is.

3) How many millions of years must pass to culminate in the radiometric "alterations" you allege - resulting in your conclusion that the earth is 1/50th of 1 million years in age?

--------------
Myth: Something that never was true, and always will be.

"The truth will set you free. But not until it is finished with you."
- David Foster Wallace

"Here’s a clue. Snarky banalities are not a substitute for saying something intelligent. Write that down."
- Barry Arrington

  
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