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k.e



Posts: 1948
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,06:19   

Quote (djmullen @ Mar. 14 2007,12:19)
My prediction for the next topic at UD:

   
Quote
The programme failed to point out that scientists had now explained the period of "global cooling" between 1940 and 1970. It was caused by industrial emissions of sulphate pollutants, which tend to reflect sunlight. Subsequent clean-air laws have cleared up some of this pollution, revealing the true scale of global warming - a point that the film failed to mention.


"Air pollution laws cause global warming!"

OH ...HA BLOODY HAR, NEXT YOU'LL BE SAYING THE CONSTITUTION OF THE UNITED STATES (OF AMORICA)* CAUSES CREATIONISM/ID. i HAPPEN TO KNOW GWD DID. THANK GOD and BLESS BUSH HOMOS-dt

*AMO,AMO,AMO (me,me,me)
ROLFING I LOVE ME SOMETIMES -DT

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The conservative has but little to fear from the man whose reason is the servant of his passions, but let him beware of him in whom reason has become the greatest and most terrible of the passions.These are the wreckers of outworn empires and civilisations, doubters, disintegrators, deicides.Haldane

   
Zachriel



Posts: 2723
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,06:44   

PaV      
Quote
Now, if malaria can occur anywhere on the globe, even colder regions, then maybe the only reason that it is found in certain populations is simply because of the in-breeeding of those populations, and no more.

Malaria is transmitted by Anopheles mosquitoes.

BBC  Ninety per cent of all malaria cases are in sub-Saharan Africa where it is the main cause of death and a major threat to child health...Although it is mainly a disease of tropical and sub-tropical countries, malaria has been identified in eastern European countries such as Russia and Turkey and recently a handful of cases were diagnosed in the US.

So, malaria is spreading. The article notes several reasons why this is so, including changes to the environment, caused by road-building, mining and irrigation projects and includes a helpful map captioned, Imported malaria is a growing problem.



Now, what I would suggest PaV do next time is a little research. Be skeptical of your own claims. Try to find out why your preliminary opinion seems contrary to common opinion. By justifying your assertion, you may learn more about the subject, and contribute positively to the discussion. In other words, next time please provide a cite. People might actually take you seriously and you wouldn't want to mislead them.

PaV      
Quote
And perhaps the only reason it still is found anywhere is simply because it is only the homozygous form that is deadly.

As to the evolutionary point, malaria has been endemic in sub-Saharan Africa for thousands of years, and the mutation has evolved independently at least four times. Of note is that the descendents of the African diaspora have a predictably reduced incidence of the sickle cell trait.

--------------

You never step on the same tard twice—for it's not the same tard and you're not the same person.

   
k.e



Posts: 1948
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,07:04   

The planets may be lining up and the great Cosmic orderer scribling some notes before the next act.

Global meltdown and the humble mosquito may bring down another empire.

Malaria may have hastened the fall of the Roman Empire

--------------
The conservative has but little to fear from the man whose reason is the servant of his passions, but let him beware of him in whom reason has become the greatest and most terrible of the passions.These are the wreckers of outworn empires and civilisations, doubters, disintegrators, deicides.Haldane

   
BWE



Posts: 1902
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,09:29   

Quote (BWE @ Mar. 13 2007,15:50)
Quote
Doug
Enough digging reveals a different picture though. The oil companies are in fact paying this guy. Link

Issues like this are tricky to unravel because big business is so good at pulling the strings. You never know when you are being lied to. The links from my link all checked out for me. If you find something fishy from one of them (and relevant to whether the guy is a shill for big energy) I’d like to see it. I don’t know enough of the science to have an opinion on the global warming front like I do on the evolution front but it looks like the only scientists out there that deny the science are paid by big energy. Wierd.

EDIT** I don't have the link from Doug's post above. Sorry.

What's there now:      
Quote


DaveScot
03/13/2007
4:42 pm
Doug’s comment was deleted as it was entirely baseless.
(from the link above)

Right. It was entirely er,  ...based. You know, supported?

--------------
Who said that ev'ry wish would be heard and answered
When wished on the morning star
Somebody thought of that, and someone believed it
Look what it's done so far

The Daily Wingnut

   
Kristine



Posts: 3061
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,09:51   

Quote
I am not a global warming denier, not used my car for well over a year now from environmental concern.
Go, Stephen!  :)

Quote
Is this your boy?

From the article:  
Quote
Reports say he was able to identify himself to police only after a rubber ball had been removed from his mouth.

:D  :D  :D  Naw, that ain't Joel. I think he's trolling. (It's wild to see raw, unadulterated nature at work - one Dembski thread almost gobbled by a predatory PETA true believer.) :O

--------------
Which came first: the shimmy, or the hip?

AtBC Poet Laureate

"I happen to think that this prerequisite criterion of empirical evidence is itself not empirical." - Clive

"Damn you. This means a trip to the library. Again." -- fnxtr

  
Arden Chatfield



Posts: 6657
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,10:25   

Quote (keiths @ Mar. 14 2007,02:24)
We interrupt this thread for a missing person bulletin.

Missing:      Joel Borofsky
Occupation: Research Assistant (heh) and Public Obsessor of Hoo-Hoos
Last seen:   November 11, 2006

Fifteen minutes of fame:  Am I Really That Important?

If you have seen Joel, please call his mother.

Maybe he finally found a real hoohoo?



Naaaaahhhhhh.....

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"Rich is just mad because he thought all titties had fur on them until last week when a shorn transvestite ruined his childhood dreams by jumping out of a spider man cake and man boobing him in the face lips." - Erasmus

  
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,12:55   

Quote (Arden Chatfield @ Mar. 14 2007,10:25)
Quote (keiths @ Mar. 14 2007,02:24)
We interrupt this thread for a missing person bulletin.

Missing:      Joel Borofsky
Occupation: Research Assistant (heh) and Public Obsessor of Hoo-Hoos
Last seen:   November 11, 2006

Fifteen minutes of fame:  Am I Really That Important?

If you have seen Joel, please call his mother.

Maybe he finally found a real hoohoo?



Naaaaahhhhhh.....

Maybe he's a poof and Southwest Collige of Bible Thumping No Wimmen Alowed!!!!111 kicked him out.

First rule is!

No Poofters!

You know, looking back on ID, with its cancelled conferences, its journal in limbo, its lost court cases, desperate DI spokesmen, denials of HIV and global warming...what a bunch of losers.

   
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,13:26   

Being full of science denying fundie nutters probably isn't a good start for a movement.

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Mr_Christopher



Posts: 1238
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,13:28   

Quote (keiths @ Mar. 14 2007,02:24)
We interrupt this thread for a missing person bulletin.

Missing:      Joel Borofsky
Occupation: Research Assistant (heh) and Public Obsessor of Hoo-Hoos
Last seen:   November 11, 2006

Fifteen minutes of fame:  Am I Really That Important?

If you have seen Joel, please call his mother.

I suspect when he was researching "slutty" little teenage girls for more material on his blob, he found one with ta tas that he liked and locked himself in the bathroom and has refused to come out ever since.

We was fanatastic material because unlike Dimski, he was pretty honest which made him a laff riot.  

I miss his stupidity.  Joel, we forgive you for touching yourself down there, and jeebus forgives you too, please start posting again!

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Uncommon Descent is a moral cesspool, a festering intellectual ghetto that intoxicates and degrades its inhabitants - Stephen Matheson

  
Kristine



Posts: 3061
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,13:29   

Quote
You know, looking back on ID, with its cancelled conferences, its journal in limbo, its lost court cases, desperate DI spokesmen, denials of HIV and global warming...what a bunch of losers.

Now, now.

Loser design doesn't mean no design.

They reinstated the poetry contest over at UD, didn't they? I can't wait for the Designer to read his work at the poetry slam.

*Swings Paley's watch before Dembski's eyes: "Yes, now that you are in a deep trance, you will obey my every word. Repeat after me: Poetry slam. IDterpretive dance. Truth or Dare. YouTube. "* ;)

--------------
Which came first: the shimmy, or the hip?

AtBC Poet Laureate

"I happen to think that this prerequisite criterion of empirical evidence is itself not empirical." - Clive

"Damn you. This means a trip to the library. Again." -- fnxtr

  
phonon



Posts: 396
Joined: Nov. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,13:46   

Quote (Wonderpants @ Mar. 12 2007,01:23)
Quote (phonon @ Mar. 11 2007,21:36)
Of course, I could have gone with the "Big ASS Beer" usually a 64 oz. Bud Light. :)

Why would anyone want to be seen in public with a normal bottle of love in a canoe beer, let alone a 64oz bottle??

I was being sarcastic. I can't stand BudLight.

--------------
With most men, unbelief in one thing springs from blind belief in another. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

To do just the opposite is also a form of imitation. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,13:48   

Vernor vinge, father of the singularity singularity, cites engineers as the reason we might not make more reductionist progress into finding 'the software for the soul"

http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=memelist.html?m=1%23696

That's right!
[throws fruit at engineers] get some biologists in there with the neural networks and whatnots. These engineers are an anachronism from the industrial age that have not evolved to be competitive in the new information age environment!

*wink*

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Kristine



Posts: 3061
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,13:55   

Quote
get some biologists in there with the neural networks and whatnots.
Ramona over thar won't answer my questions.

I think a lot of women snub me.  ;)

--------------
Which came first: the shimmy, or the hip?

AtBC Poet Laureate

"I happen to think that this prerequisite criterion of empirical evidence is itself not empirical." - Clive

"Damn you. This means a trip to the library. Again." -- fnxtr

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,14:00   

Quote (phonon @ Mar. 14 2007,12:46)
Quote (Wonderpants @ Mar. 12 2007,01:23)
Quote (phonon @ Mar. 11 2007,21:36)
Of course, I could have gone with the "Big ASS Beer" usually a 64 oz. Bud Light. :)

Why would anyone want to be seen in public with a normal bottle of love in a canoe beer, let alone a 64oz bottle??

I was being sarcastic. I can't stand BudLight.

I NEW YOU WHERE A MILLER LITE MAN.

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
phonon



Posts: 396
Joined: Nov. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,14:22   

I watched that Global Warming Swindle last week. I thought I had seen some of those graphs before on the Discovery Channel or something like that. Pretty much the same graphs. There was also an issue with one of the scientists interviewed in the Swindle claiming to be taken out of context. Actually, from what I remember in the film, all the people interviewed seemed to speak at length enough to where any context was pretty obvious. I could be mistaken about this one guy. I was surprised at some of the names and positions of the people that were global warming skeptics. I mean, the co-founder of Greenpeace?

I wish someone would also address the 800 year lag between the rise of CO2 and the rise in temperature from ice core data. I don't think I've heard an adequate explanation of the mechanism behind that. Maybe Al Gore addressed it in his movie, but I haven't seen that. (not going to pay $8 to see a powerpoint presentation, I'll wait till it's on google video)

Anyway, I'm sure that, like any political propaganda, that video has some distortions and inaccuracies in it. I really wish some objective body or person would sit down with all these movies and slide shows meant for public consumption and do a point by point debunking or substantiation of each claim made. That would be nice.

The one thing I know I agree with in the Swindle movie is the point made at the end. I don't agree with Western countries telling developing countries that they can't use their fossil fuel resources. It's pretty hypocritical. If the Western countries donated huge wind farms and huge amounts of solar panels, then they might have a say.

I also like the idea of electric generation by wave power. I think oil and coal should be abandoned in rich countries simply because their production is so dirty. I've lived in Louisiana where the oil refineries caused lots of health problems in people I know and the cancer rates are really high. Oil transportation is messy as hel too. Now I live in Tennessee, and people complain about mountaintop removal mining to get at coal and it's atrocious, killing forests and filling streams with waste, not just a little trickle either. So regardless of whether CO2 emissions are causing global warming or not, we have to abandon fossil fuels. The problem is they are just too damned profitable for those who control them.

Anyway...

--------------
With most men, unbelief in one thing springs from blind belief in another. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

To do just the opposite is also a form of imitation. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

  
phonon



Posts: 396
Joined: Nov. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,14:35   

Quote (Richardthughes @ Mar. 14 2007,13:00)
Quote (phonon @ Mar. 14 2007,12:46)
 
Quote (Wonderpants @ Mar. 12 2007,01:23)
 
Quote (phonon @ Mar. 11 2007,21:36)
Of course, I could have gone with the "Big ASS Beer" usually a 64 oz. Bud Light. :)

Why would anyone want to be seen in public with a normal bottle of love in a canoe beer, let alone a 64oz bottle??

I was being sarcastic. I can't stand BudLight.

I NEW YOU WHERE A MILLER LITE MAN.

He he ! I could be.

Nah. I really can't stand any light beer, even the hoity toity ones like Amstel and Sam Adams.


Oh hey! An intelligently Disined flagellum!

http://pubs.acs.org/cgi-bin....8b.html
Self-Assembly of Metal Nanoparticles and Nanotubes on Bioengineered Flagella Scaffolds
Quote
The previously described FliTrx E. coli flagellin protein was genetically engineered to display rationally designed histidine, arginine-lysine, and aspartic acid-glutamic acid peptide loops on the solvent-accessible outer domain region. The resulting flagellin monomers were self-assembled to obtain the corresponding oligomeric flagella bionanotubes in which the peptide loops were 5 nm apart. These flagella nanotubes were equilibrated with solutions of various metal ions (Co(II), Cu(II), Cd(II), Ag(I), Au(I), and Pd(II)). Controlled reduction of these metal ions yielded ordered arrays of nanoparticles or nanotubes, and in some cases, extensive aggregation resulted in formation of metal nanotube bundles...


From the introduction:
Quote
Bacterial flagella are another example of a natural, self-assembling protein nanotube. Flagella are elongated helical protein filaments, up to 10-15 um in length, that are rotated to provide propulsion of bacterial cells.
Don't they know that Go the intelligent designer pushes each protein unit into place to assemble each little butt propeller?

And RATIONALLY designed?!!?! Come ON! These guys are OBVIOUSLY doing a secret Darwin buttshake! (Not really, rational design was jargon long before intelligent design.)

--------------
With most men, unbelief in one thing springs from blind belief in another. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

To do just the opposite is also a form of imitation. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

  
Bebbo



Posts: 161
Joined: Dec. 2002

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,14:39   

Quote (Alan Fox @ Mar. 13 2007,11:34)
Seriously, are we getting hysterical? How can one sort truth from propaganda? Check the source and read the original research (and who funded it), I guess.

“Climate Denial” — What’s Next, “Evolution Denial”?

Hasn't Bill got that the wrong way round?

I wonder if the UDers would take the Channel 4 programme as seriously if they knew it was made by someone who's apparently a communist, and, IIRC, has been in trouble for making a misleading programme for Channel 4 in the past.

  
phonon



Posts: 396
Joined: Nov. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,14:43   

Ok, this is just a pet peeve of mine.

http://www.uncommondescent.com/science....t-98114
DaveScot:
 
Quote
I remember Burke from his monthly column “Connections” in Scientific American. I’m saddened to hear he’s become a shill for the global warming hoax.


A shill is a person that acts as if they are an unbiased or disinterested person who is suddenly convinced by a certain argument in order to convince others in his presence, because nothing convinces people like convinced people. But everyone wants to use shill to mean any proponent of an idea.

And I love Connections. Great show.


edit: OH yeah! That's right. The lag of CO2 rise behind temperature rise is that gas solubility is inverse to temperature. Duh. The warmer it is, the more less CO2 will be dissolved in the oceans. Now I remember. Whatever...

edit2: http://www.uncommondescent.com/science....t-98205
bFast
Quote


Michaels7:
Quote
Has it been mentioned yet that Al Gore created his own “Green Investement Company” back in 2004 in England? … He’s banking on the Global Warming Buck Baby.


This has got to be one of my all time pet pieve worst arguments. I would suggest that this shows that Gore believes in his message, and believes that investment can effect the outcome. So what. I also know some who see those who come to believe that there is a God, and respond by accepting a particular religion. Because of their religion, they are dismissed even though this is the logical extension of their initial discovery.


I'm have to agree with bFast. Dembski, you make loads off of ID. By Michaels7's logic, ID is a scam. Church's make huge wads of cash and invest in spreading the word in order to build more churches and rake in even huger amounts of cash. Religion must be a scam right? Hmm, maybe they're on to something. Of course! All of science is just a big scam! <shoots self>

--------------
With most men, unbelief in one thing springs from blind belief in another. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

To do just the opposite is also a form of imitation. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

  
Stephen Elliott



Posts: 1776
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,14:53   

Quote (phonon @ Mar. 14 2007,13:22)
I watched that Global Warming Swindle last week. I thought I had seen some of those graphs before on the Discovery Channel or something like that. Pretty much the same graphs. There was also an issue with one of the scientists interviewed in the Swindle claiming to be taken out of context. Actually, from what I remember in the film, all the people interviewed seemed to speak at length enough to where any context was pretty obvious. I could be mistaken about this one guy. I was surprised at some of the names and positions of the people that were global warming skeptics. I mean, the co-founder of Greenpeace?

I wish someone would also address the 800 year lag between the rise of CO2 and the rise in temperature from ice core data...

I would also be interested in that. Trying to source actual data has been beyond my ability.

The video sounds pausible to me. However I have not got the capability to confirm one way or the other.

I have watched it twice this morning and can't fault it. But the evidence could be skewed and I would not know. The 800 year lag would be pretty much condemning (if it is true).

Something is causing warming. It could be man-made or just natural. Even if man-made it could be something different to CO2 emissions (1 example might be deforestation combined with paving many green places).

I guess I just want someone who really knows to explain it all.

Also. If CO2 is the real cause then we in the industrialised societies should be taking the lead and not penalising developing countries. The last few minutes of the film was pretty much damning.

  
Kristine



Posts: 3061
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,15:17   

Quote
I remember Burke from his monthly column “Connections” in Scientific American. I’m saddened to hear he’s become a shill for the global warming hoax.

Here's another convert (an unexpected one at that - shows what happens when conservatives run the institutions that they want to destroy). So cry me a... oh, forget it.

OT: Happy Pi Day, everyone!

You know, I felt pretty bad about my (unintentional) part in unleashing the Jason troll at Ed's blog - and then Wes swings through with the driest comment yet.  :D So there’s a no-kill policy for trolls. Got that? (I guess we do catch-and-release...Wes doesn't say if they can be domesticated...)

--------------
Which came first: the shimmy, or the hip?

AtBC Poet Laureate

"I happen to think that this prerequisite criterion of empirical evidence is itself not empirical." - Clive

"Damn you. This means a trip to the library. Again." -- fnxtr

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,16:00   

DaveTard gets a spankering:

https://www2.blogger.com/comment....6864891

Quote
Dave said...
Davescot again avoids answering a few simple questions that I expect my college freshman to be able to answer by blustering: Your "question" is nonsense, by the way. Pathogens can change in virulence in any direction at any time.

Translation #2: Cluck, cluck, cluck, cluck, cluckle.

And your notions about predicting the evolutionary trajectory of pathogens, as expressed in your second sentence, only serves to reveal anew your profound ignorance of evolutionary theory and its predictive value. In fact, that second sentence is exactly the sort of "prediction" that one expects from ID (i.e. no prediction at all). Until ID and its adherents can do better than that, the predictive value of evolutionary theory will have to be our best defense against novel pathogens. Thank God for that, because it actually works, as you might learn if you can force yourself to think about the questions and abandon the knee-jerk reactions. Think about this exercise in critical thinking as the first step toward "teaching the controversy".

11:18 AM


--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,16:42   

http://www.uncommondescent.com/science....t-98223

Quote
.I hate the gutless double-dealing French but that’s one thing they did right.


Hmmm. How do you feel about them Negros, Dave?

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Lou FCD



Posts: 5455
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,16:59   

Quote (Kristine @ Mar. 14 2007,12:29)
They reinstated the poetry contest over at UD, didn't they? I can't wait for the Designer to read his work at the poetry slam.

Speaking of which, have you voted in the UDoJ contests yet?

--------------
“Why do creationists have such a hard time with commas?

Linky“. ~ Steve Story, Legend

   
phonon



Posts: 396
Joined: Nov. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,18:21   

Quote (Stephen Elliott @ Mar. 14 2007,13:53)
 
Quote (phonon @ Mar. 14 2007,13:22)
I watched that Global Warming Swindle last week. I thought I had seen some of those graphs before on the Discovery Channel or something like that. Pretty much the same graphs. There was also an issue with one of the scientists interviewed in the Swindle claiming to be taken out of context. Actually, from what I remember in the film, all the people interviewed seemed to speak at length enough to where any context was pretty obvious. I could be mistaken about this one guy. I was surprised at some of the names and positions of the people that were global warming skeptics. I mean, the co-founder of Greenpeace?

I wish someone would also address the 800 year lag between the rise of CO2 and the rise in temperature from ice core data...

I would also be interested in that. Trying to source actual data has been beyond my ability.

The video sounds pausible to me. However I have not got the capability to confirm one way or the other.

I have watched it twice this morning and can't fault it. But the evidence could be skewed and I would not know. The 800 year lag would be pretty much condemning (if it is true).

Something is causing warming. It could be man-made or just natural. Even if man-made it could be something different to CO2 emissions (1 example might be deforestation combined with paving many green places).

I guess I just want someone who really knows to explain it all.

Also. If CO2 is the real cause then we in the industrialised societies should be taking the lead and not penalising developing countries. The last few minutes of the film was pretty much damning.

Hey, I kinda put it in an edit to one of my posts. I hate to post 4-5 posts in a row.

I think the explanation has to do with CO2 solubility in water. Gases are generally less soluble in warmer liquids and more soluble in colder liquids. I think as temperatures rise, CO2 is gradually released back into the atmosphere from the ocean.

IMO, that sort of thing adds absolutely nothing to the debate about whether humans are contributing to global warming.

Yeah, most of the video sounds plausible to me too. But then again, I don't know anything about climatology, so there's a good reason for the plausibility. I'm always reassured that I know nothing about a topic when both sides of a debate sound plausible. This is usually the case for me and economics, too.

edit: Ok, the guy from Greenpeace is a man-made-global-warming skeptic and Paul Wolfowitz is convinced of it? I don't know what to think of that.

edit2: On second thought, maybe the CO2 thing from ice cores could have something to do with the debate. If CO2 concentration in the atmosphere had such an effect on global temperature (or at least the temperature around antarctica where the ice cores were drilled) then wouldn't you see a non-linear correlation with temperature? As CO2 is slowly released from the oceans, shouldn't temperature rise more rapidly as CO2 concentrations increase? Instead, it appears (in a plot of both temp and CO2 concentrations rescaled to make the lines coincide) that the correlation is pretty linear. But, wtf do I know?

--------------
With most men, unbelief in one thing springs from blind belief in another. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

To do just the opposite is also a form of imitation. - Georg Christoph Lichtenberg

  
phonon



Posts: 396
Joined: Nov. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,18:32   

http://www.uncommondescent.com/science....t-98223
DaveScot:
 
Quote
CO2 isn’t a pollutant. It’s plant fertilizer.

No, DaveScot, CO2 is plant food, not just fertilizer. All the carbon in a plant came from CO2. All the carbohydrates, all the lipids, pretty much all of it.

Quote
Now if you’re talking real pollutants such as ozone, soot, and aerosols that adversely effect health and cause acid rain I couldn’t agree more and no country has done more already to clean up its air pollutant emissions than the United States. If the greenies and assorted other anti-US whackjobs think we’re going to hobble our economy to reduce non-polluting CO2 in response to their pseudo-scientific warming hoax they’ve got another think coming.

Wasn't it the "greenies" and assorted other anti-US whackjobs that got people's attention so that we could clean up the US's pollution?

jimbo:
Quote
Just goes to show the dangers of politicizing science

Are we still talking about global warming? Or did we move back to creationism?

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GCT



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(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,19:58   

Quote (Stephen Elliott @ Mar. 14 2007,14:53)
I guess I just want someone who really knows to explain it all.

www.realclimate.org is a great resource.  They have some entries on Gore's movie as well as general entries on the science and other issues.  I've found their stuff to be quite readable.  Give it a try.

  
GCT



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(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,20:02   

Quote (Kristine @ Mar. 14 2007,15:17)
OT: Happy Pi Day, everyone!

Wow, it's Einstein's birthday too.

Also, it's men's Valentine's Day.

Explanation link (maybe not good for work viewing)

  
dhogaza



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(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,20:15   

Quote
There was also an issue with one of the scientists interviewed in the Swindle claiming to be taken out of context. Actually, from what I remember in the film, all the people interviewed seemed to speak at length enough to where any context was pretty obvious. I could be mistaken about this one guy.


He was describing how warming of the sea as an ice age begins to end releases CO2 to the atmosphere.  That additional CO2 then leads to further warming (this info was not in the snippet C4 used).  The driving force behind the beginning and ending of ice ages is minor oscillations in the earths orbits, cycles with periods of tens of thousands of years.

Today's situation doesn't fit that scenario.  CO2 is not in (rough) equilibrium, we're pumping large amounts of it that has been sequestered in oil, coal and natural gas for millions of years.  Sea warming lags atmospheric warming and the sea is, at the moment, still a CO2 *SINK*.

As the scientist knows full well and says he pointed out in his interview (which lasted hours).

The producers QUOTE-MINED the man, snipping out his discussion about the processes which have occurred in past ice ages to make it appear as though he is saying that oceans today are a major source of CO2 (as opposed to mankind's activities).

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I was surprised at some of the names and positions of the people that were global warming skeptics. I mean, the co-founder of Greenpeace?


Patrick Moore, co-founder of Greenpeace, has never been an environmentalist.  Greenpeace began as an anti-nuclear weapon proliferation organization, protesting french tests in the pacific IIRC.

When the organization began addressing environmental issues, Patrick Moore left.

And has been making his anti-environmental feelings clear now for sheesh, 20? 30? years.  They're not simply directed against the AGW hypothesis.

 
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I wish someone would also address the 800 year lag between the rise of CO2 and the rise in temperature from ice core data. I don't think I've heard an adequate explanation of the mechanism behind that.


Well, I just provided a very thumbnail sketch above.  To add to the point, it only lags the first 1/6th of the warming periods seen in the ice-core data.  Orbital cycles trigger ice ages and our emergence from them, this warming adds CO2 to the atmosphere as described above and over time CO2 then adds to the last 5/6 of the warming period.

As for the rest, geez.

You folks here see stupid arguments by IDers and know that they lie, quote-mine, misrepresent science, etc.  It's the tool of their trade.

Why would you fall for some argument like "oh, the 800 year lag in  CO2 vs. warming proves AGW to be false" when it's derived from climate science (a broad field including physicists, paleoclimatologists, chemists, modelers, etc) in the first place?  Doesn't occur to you that they think about stuff like this, that thousands of climate scientists do this for their living just like evolutionary biologists do science for a living????

Turn on your bullsh*t filter!!!

Doesn't it occur to you to be as suspicious of claims by fringe denialists just as you are with the IDers?

For expert fisking of C4's documentary (which trots out the same old shit denialists depend upon just as IDers trot out the same old shit creationists have depended on since Paley) visit Real Climate which is run by some of the leading climatologists in the world (Michael Mann, for instance, is a regular contributor).

Meanwhile I'm sighing ... if people here are taken in by C4's tripe, no wonder so many people are taken in by ID tripe!

  
Kristine



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(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,21:05   

Lou and y'all, check out this. JAD is claiming that PZ's taking down the Molly thread so that he can't see it. :D

If PZ took down that thread there would be #### to pay! :D  :D  :D
 
Quote
Speaking of which, have you voted in the UDoJ contests yet?
I think I did. Uh...wait til I get home, I'll double-check. (@ school now)

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Tracy P. Hamilton



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(Permalink) Posted: Mar. 14 2007,21:10   

[quote=phonon,Mar. 14 2007,17:21]    
Quote (Stephen Elliott @ Mar. 14 2007,13:53)
     
Quote (phonon @ Mar. 14 2007,13:22)
I watched that Global Warming Swindle last week. I thought I had seen some of those graphs before on the Discovery Channel or something like that. Pretty much the same graphs. There was also an issue with one of the scientists interviewed in the Swindle claiming to be taken out of context. Actually, from what I remember in the film, all the people interviewed seemed to speak at length enough to where any context was pretty obvious. I could be mistaken about this one guy. I was surprised at some of the names and positions of the people that were global warming skeptics. I mean, the co-founder of Greenpeace?

I wish someone would also address the 800 year lag between the rise of CO2 and the rise in temperature from ice core data...

I would also be interested in that. Trying to source actual data has been beyond my ability.

The video sounds pausible to me.



It wouldn't be a Swindle if it didn't sound plausible.  The alleged documentary, that is.

A good source for all things climate is www.realclimate.org, and stoat's blog on scienceblogs.com

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The 800 year lag would be pretty much condemning (if it is true).

No it would not.  Global warming from CO2 is a feedback process.  

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I think the explanation has to do with CO2 solubility in water. Gases are generally less soluble in warmer liquids and more soluble in colder liquids. I think as temperatures rise, CO2 is gradually released back into the atmosphere from the ocean.



That is certainly part of it.

 
Quote


edit2: On second thought, maybe the CO2 thing from ice cores could have something to do with the debate. If CO2 concentration in the atmosphere had such an effect on global temperature (or at least the temperature around antarctica where the ice cores were drilled) then wouldn't you see a non-linear correlation with temperature? As CO2 is slowly released from the oceans, shouldn't temperature rise more rapidly as CO2 concentrations increase? Instead, it appears (in a plot of both temp and CO2 concentrations rescaled to make the lines coincide) that the correlation is pretty linear. But, wtf do I know?


Phonon, is Beer's law linear?  

Absorbance = epsilon * b (usually 1 cm) * concentration

However, percent transmission of radiation is not.

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