Richardthughes
Posts: 11178 Joined: Jan. 2006
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Quote (blipey @ Aug. 24 2006,09:06) | Quote | I could still whip the snot out of it but that’s because I knew exactly what it was thinking and that’s enough of an advantage to nullify the card counting. |
Um, Dave. If your program always made the best decision available, the randomness of your hands would preclude you winning all of them. If he had better cards than you, he would always win. If the cards were evenish, he's most likely win, and he'd probably even steal couple when at a disadvantage.
Also, how exactly would you whip him when he was dealt: 5C, 5D, 5H, JkS, and 5S comes on the cut? By knowing he was going to kick your ass, you nulified his superior hand? The play of cribbage is by far the least important aspect of the game; it's the meld that counts. |
First up: He's bluffing.
But if it used suboptimal logic (lead with your lowest card for example), then you would have an advantage.
Let's say your hand contains (2,7,7,9)
Leading off with a 7 would be best...? that's because if they then drop a 7 (low prob because you have 2) you can play the 3rd for 6 points. If they play and 8 (for the 15) then you have the 9 for a run of 3...
There's a lot of nested logic of hypthetical comibitorial plays, which creates a large state-space. Could Dave do that? Erm......no.
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