k.e..
Posts: 5432
Joined: May 2007
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| Quote (midwifetoad @ Sep. 01 2012,08:47) | | Quote (paragwinn @ Sep. 01 2012,00:04) | | isnt Joe excluding the probability of picking one of the other 5 machines that each has the probability of choosing 6 ( 5/6 * 1/10 = 1/12)? or is this irrelevant to Dembski's point? |
You haven't really searched until you have picked a machine AND queried it. So while are two steps, it's one search. It's no different than trying to pick a black marble from one of six bowls.
You can't pick without choosing a bowl, so the guff about choosing the correct bowl is rubbish. The two dimensional array maps directly to a one dimensional array. You just dump all the marbles into one bowl.
What Dembski is trying to hide is that different haystacks can have different numbers of needles. Our universe might be stuffed with them.
He wants you to belive you have to average probabilities across all possible sesrch spaces. |
Bah misread problem
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