Zachriel
Posts: 2723 Joined: Sep. 2006
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Quote | PaV: I’ve finally discovered Schneider’s paper in Nucleic Acids Research where he presents his ev program and its results.
I noticed this statement—which I believe to correctly summarize what he accomplished:
Quote | Second, the probability of finding 16 sites averaging 4 bits each in random sequences is 2^4X16 = 5 x 10^20 yet the sites evolved from random sequences in only ~ 10^3 generations . . . |
Per NFL, per the UPB found there, which is 10^150, even if there were no other problems with ev (which there are, and can be found in the papers I linked to belonging to Dembski and Truman), this falls woefully short of this UPB. This means that we CANNOT conclude that it is CSI. That is, we CANNOT be assured that what was produced was not the result of chance. The “chance hypothesis”, the null hypothesis here, CANNOT be eliminated, and thus Schneider’s output does not constitute CSI. QED. |
10^-20... Beginners luck.
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You never step on the same tard twice—for it's not the same tard and you're not the same person.
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