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Richardthughes



Posts: 10071
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: May 21 2007,13:52   

Quote (heddle @ May 21 2007,12:46)
Yes, I know the Drake equation. I'm not a big fan for two reasons: 1) We don't really know what probabilities to put in and 2) we don't really know when to stop the multiplicative chain--you can keep tacking on additional probabilities under the assumption that they are additional independent requirements for intelligent life. In some cases you might be right--but the end result is you can get any answer you please, more or less.

I'll never see honesty like that from an IDer, Dave.

;)

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