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Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,10:29   

More all-too-common Dysentery:

TinaBrewer muses:

http://www.uncommondescent.com/index.php/archives/1285#comment-46786

Quote


1. Allen MacNeill: I am going to assume that you are not willfully misrepresenting ID, and that you genuinely believe that the explanatory filter depends on being logically CERTAIN that no naturalistic explanation is, or ever will be, sufficient to account for all the complex phenomena in biology. I have personally met many people who seem genuinely to harbor these misconceptions. ID is probabalistic. It is an inference about the BEST available explanation for observed phenomena based NOT on ignorance ( like some law which could concievably be out there in operation which we haven’t noticed yet ) but instead based upon positive knowledge about the types of things which are designed by conscious intelligent agents. As Biology advances and uncovers greater and greater levels of complexity, the antique idea that chance and necessity wrought all of this becomes more and more IMprobable , while the idea that some intelligent agency acted to bring about this complexity becomes more and more probable.


Oooh, ID is probabilistic! Then you’ll have some math for us?

No…no?


*tumbleweed*

The probability of it being (god / designer) is 1-probability of (everything but god)
Bang some numbers in and where good to go.
Ohhhhh…what’s that? You can’t calculate ‘everything but god’ as a probability?

Daft cow.

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,11:14   

hahaha!

http://www.uncommondescent.com/index.php/archives/1285#comment-46790

Quote


Ok, Salvador. I think I’ve got it now.

So the next question seems pretty obvious…

“Exactly how unlikely is unlikely?” And this paper is going to tell us that.

Right?

JanieBelle

Comment by janiebelle — July 6, 2006 @ 3:52 pm



Sal so SOOOOO baited.

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
dhogaza



Posts: 525
Joined: Feb. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,12:39   

Oh, JanieBelle totally has him by the balls, that's why I wondered above if she's what she claims to be, rather than a clever imposter out to impale Sal while disguised as a 17 year old who claims to be mostly clueless about science.

Here's more:

Quote
Ok, I get your drift. But isn’t that a calculation of one particular hunk of material becoming alive? Wouldn’t you have to multiply that times all the hunks of material in the universe? The universe is pretty darned big, so by that reasoning, it almost seems like it would equal out to 1/1, which would mean that life would not only probably happen, but it would almost HAVE to happen “accidently”. Not that that rules out design, just that it doesn’t seem like it rules out random chance, either.

Sorry if I’m missing something, I’m just trying to get an idea here. (I’m blonde, whatdaya want?)

Thanks again, by the way, for taking so much of your time to explain this to me. It’s really very kind.


Oh, my, how good.

  
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,14:27   

Quote (dhogaza @ July 06 2006,18:39)
Oh, JanieBelle totally has him by the balls, that's why I wondered above if she's what she claims to be, rather than a clever imposter out to impale Sal while disguised as a 17 year old who claims to be mostly clueless about science.

Here's more:

 
Quote
Ok, I get your drift. But isn’t that a calculation of one particular hunk of material becoming alive? Wouldn’t you have to multiply that times all the hunks of material in the universe? The universe is pretty darned big, so by that reasoning, it almost seems like it would equal out to 1/1, which would mean that life would not only probably happen, but it would almost HAVE to happen “accidently”. Not that that rules out design, just that it doesn’t seem like it rules out random chance, either.

Sorry if I’m missing something, I’m just trying to get an idea here. (I’m blonde, whatdaya want?)

Thanks again, by the way, for taking so much of your time to explain this to me. It’s really very kind.


Oh, my, how good.

Hmmm....you guys might be right... that is a suspicious comment of hers...she might be setting Sal up for that technique where you rip someone's balls off in one move.




Whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

   
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank



Posts: 2560
Joined: Feb. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,15:22   

Quote (stevestory @ July 06 2006,19:27)
she might be setting Sal up for that technique where you rip someone's balls off in one move.

Normally, a comment like this would prompt a response from me questioning whether Sal *has* any balls.  But since I like Wes, and don't want to pee in his pot, I'll just sit here and THINK it instead.    :)

--------------
Editor, Red and Black Publishers
www.RedandBlackPublishers.com

  
jujuquisp



Posts: 129
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,15:45   

Am I a bad person?

  
Lou FCD



Posts: 5455
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,17:27   

Uh oh.  Trouble in Paradise?

     
Quote
#

ajl,

That’s a good point, but hang on. You seem to be assuming life as we know it. In order to rule out chance, don’t we have to rule out the chance of any possible kind of life? Do we know for an absolute fact that silicon or bzywhateverium can’t make life?

My old science teacher (the million year old bald guy) used to say “The universe is not only stranger than we imagine, but stranger than we can imagine”.

Aren’t they finding some pretty weird stuff down in caves and at the bottom of the ocean? Stuff that eats rocks and all? I’m not sure we can rule anything out just yet, can we?

JanieBelle

Genetic engineers are a fact. We know that intelligent agents can manipulate genomes for fun and profit and if you care to disagree I’ve got a bag full of genetically engineered rotten fruit to throw at you. Presumably, according to the Darwinian chance worshippers, these intelligent agents with white lab coats and gene splicing machines arose through natural processes without any intelligent help. Point #1: intelligent agents capable of genetic engineering are a natural part of the universe. Next consider that DNA and ribosomes, the protein factory that exists in every living thing we’ve examined, is a digital program controlled machine. Instructions for manufacturing different proteins are *coded* onto the spine of the DNA molecule and the ribosome reads those coded instructions just like a computer reads instructions from a program. The machine then assembles a protein according to those instructions just like computer controlled machines assemble complex pieces of automobiles. DNA and ribosomes are digitally programmed robotic protein assemblers or *machines* in every sense of the word. Point #2: All living cells so far observed contain complex machinery. Next point. In every case where we observe a machine in nature and we *know* where the machine came from, we know it came from intelligent agency. Point #3: all machines where the origin can be determined come from intelligent agents..


Point #1: intelligent agents capable of genetic engineering are a natural part of the universe.
Point #2: all living cells so far observed contain complex machinery.
Point #3: all machines where the origin can be determined come from intelligent agents.

Now tell me why it’s unreasonable to consider it a strong possibility that the living machinery of life is the result of intelligent agency. If anyone can describe to me a plausible way for complex program code driven machinery on the level of DNA and ribosomes can assemble via chance interactions of chemicals with no forethought then I’ll reevaluate whether ID is the best explanation for where these machines came from. Until then, the best explanation is rather obvious unless you’ve got some kind of mental block that makes you refuse to believe it possible that intelligence existed in the universe before humans came along. -ds


Comment by janiebelle — July 6, 2006 @ 7:19 pm
#

For the benefit of the readers, various numbers have been floated around for the minimum number of parts of a self-replicating von-neumann automata (which is a necessary condition for life).

Something on the order of 1 out of 10^40,000 for probability was my inference from von Neumann’s writings. This is independent of the physical substrate of the automata, whether it is made of semi-conductor materials, DNA, amino acids, whatever…..

Because the architectures of the automata are recognized as independent (since we see partial constructs of it in engineering), and the specification was present before we knew much of the cell, it does not matter whether one defines life another way because what matters is we have found an artifact (life) matching an information rich independent specification (Turing machines and von neumann automata). They are even more information rich than Paley’s watch. Thus a design inference is reasonable even if we were to define life another way. After all, a complex machine is still a complex machine!

The von-neumann automata was mentioned in Dr. Albert Voie’s paper. I’d like to announce that possibly in a week or so, Dr. Albert Voie may visit our weblog!

The number 10^150 which I gave above thus one of the smaller numbers I had available. I invite my fellow UDers to give some of the numbers they are familiar with.

Salvador

Comment by scordova — July 6, 2006 @ 7:38 pm
#

Ok, now I’m lost again. I’m gonna do what I said before, and we’ll have to come back to all that stuff.

Enjoy your weekend, Salvadore.

JanieBelle

Comment by janiebelle — July 6, 2006 @ 8:22 pm
#

Easy, Dave, I’m not suggesting anything else.

I’m trying to understand how Salvadore and these guys prove mathematically that evolution isn’t true, or as Salvadore said earlier, that it’s mathematically nearly impossible for chance to explain life.

I’m just trying to see how we cover all the bases, so there are no holes for things to slip through.

I agree that it’s kind of dumb for them to say “we made this happen without intelligence”. If they made it happen, well, duh, there’s intelligence.

I’m just trying to understand this, it’s not really necessary for you to be rude and yell at me about mental blocks.

Sorry if I said something to P you O.

JanieBelle

Comment by janiebelle — July 6, 2006 @ 9:54 pm


Aww, a spat.  How sweet.  She's on her way out.  Think she's really a plant?  She's a pretty good one, if she is.  Maybe she's really Dembski, testing the troops.

--------------
“Why do creationists have such a hard time with commas?

Linky“. ~ Steve Story, Legend

   
dhogaza



Posts: 525
Joined: Feb. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,19:03   

Quote
Genetic engineers are a fact. We know that intelligent agents can manipulate genomes for fun and profit and if you care to disagree I’ve got a bag full of genetically engineered rotten fruit to throw at you.

There we go again ... since humans can manipulate genomes, they're obviously designed.

Sort of like saying since humans can cleave diamonds into gemstones of greater value than those in nature, obviously diamonds were desigend to please us.

It can't possibly be that our race was stupid enough to fall for a DeBeers marketing plan put in place about 100 years ago.

  
dhogaza



Posts: 525
Joined: Feb. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,19:09   

Hmmm, anyone else think Dave's being so friggin' rude to our 17-year-old Blond Princess means he's figured out she's not for real?

On her blog, he pretty much snuggled her snatch oh-so-hopefully just a few days ago, now on UD he's ravishing her (virtually, of course, and without her consent).

I'd hate to think I (with others agreeing with me) blew her cover for Dave et al.  Perhaps I should've kept quiet.

  
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,19:10   

Quote (dhogaza @ July 07 2006,01:03)
Quote
Genetic engineers are a fact. We know that intelligent agents can manipulate genomes for fun and profit and if you care to disagree I’ve got a bag full of genetically engineered rotten fruit to throw at you.

There we go again ... since humans can manipulate genomes, they're obviously designed.

Sort of like saying since humans can cleave diamonds into gemstones of greater value than those in nature, obviously diamonds were desigend to please us.

It can't possibly be that our race was stupid enough to fall for a DeBeers marketing plan put in place about 100 years ago.

I read a very interesting article once--New Yorker? Atlantic Monthly? Haarpers?--detailing how the deBeers cartel incited such a demand for diamonds, over the course of the 20th century, that diamonds went from ordinary gemstone to extraordinarily valuable. Great PR campaign.

   
Bob O'H



Posts: 2564
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,19:11   

Quote (stevestory @ July 06 2006,19:27)
Quote (dhogaza @ July 06 2006,18:39)
Oh, JanieBelle totally has him by the balls, that's why I wondered above if she's what she claims to be, rather than a clever imposter out to impale Sal while disguised as a 17 year old who claims to be mostly clueless about science.

Here's more:

 
Quote
Ok, I get your drift. But isn’t that a calculation of one particular hunk of material becoming alive? Wouldn’t you have to multiply that times all the hunks of material in the universe? The universe is pretty darned big, so by that reasoning, it almost seems like it would equal out to 1/1, which would mean that life would not only probably happen, but it would almost HAVE to happen “accidently”. Not that that rules out design, just that it doesn’t seem like it rules out random chance, either.

Sorry if I’m missing something, I’m just trying to get an idea here. (I’m blonde, whatdaya want?)

Thanks again, by the way, for taking so much of your time to explain this to me. It’s really very kind.


Oh, my, how good.

Hmmm....you guys might be right... that is a suspicious comment of hers...she might be setting Sal up for that technique where you rip someone's balls off in one move.




Whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Egads!  It's Wayne Rooney!

Bob

--------------
It is fun to dip into the various threads to watch cluelessness at work in the hands of the confident exponent. - Soapy Sam (so say we all)

   
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 06 2006,19:27   

Quote
I'd hate to think I (with others agreeing with me) blew her cover for Dave et al.  Perhaps I should've kept quiet.

I was thinking about this as we were discussing it. Maybe we made Davetard suspicious. Who knows. I glanced at her blog, and I still think it's possible she's an actual 17-yro bookish ID supporter. If she really is, then who knows. It could go either way. There's a big chance she'll see the UD idiots for what they are. When I was 17, I could have gotten briefly suckered into things like ID. I had the necessary intellectual arrogance. If she is legit, she might quickly find herself on the wrong side of bannination, a la Josh Bozeman. If she is just toying with them, she could find her coup de grace post relegated to hidden status. In general it's not worth engaging them on their potemkin blog.

I prefer watching from the balcony, and laughing. Hence my avatar.

   
Chris Hyland



Posts: 705
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,01:05   

If Dave thought she wasn't for real he would have banned her in a second.

Quote
P.S. My wife’s name is Janie. She is a French teacher. We met in French classes in college 30 years ago. “Belle” is the French word for beautiful, so JanieBelle has a special place in my heart.


er...

  
GCT



Posts: 1001
Joined: Aug. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,02:44   

http://www.uncommondescent.com/index.php/archives/1285#comment-46895

Quote
I didn’t yell and it was the generic “you” not the personal “you”. If it’s personal I’ll add something about how your momma girlfriend wears combat boots so there’s no mistake. -ds

Oh, good. When I read all that gobledygook, it “sounded” in my head like you were mad at me. I’m glad you’re not, because you’ve been sooo sweet to me, here, in your emails, and at my blog. I like having you around, and I’d hate to ban “the Banninnator” HAAHAHAHA….

Hey watch it with the combat boot jokes, or I might make YOU my girlfriend, buster. -jb  

Comment by janiebelle — July 7, 2006 @ 7:14 am

With that stinging last line, maybe Dembski should give DaveTard's job to Janiebelle.

  
bourgeois_rage



Posts: 117
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,02:59   

She's good. She's really pushing the envelope of banter with DaveScot.

--------------
Overwhelming Evidence: Apply directly to the forehead.

   
Jim_Wynne



Posts: 1208
Joined: June 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,05:18   

Now I'm starting to wonder.  Does anyone else think it odd that a 17-year-old would use the phrase Danger Will Robinson?

--------------
Evolution is not about laws but about randomness on happanchance.--Robert Byers, at PT

  
bourgeois_rage



Posts: 117
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,05:36   

Quote (Jim_Wynne @ July 07 2006,10:18)
Now I'm starting to wonder.  Does anyone else think it odd that a 17-year-old would use the phrase Danger Will Robinson?

Odd, maybe, but not out of the realm of possibility. I used to watch a lot of old TV shows when I was a kid. Also, it is not that obscure of a reference.

--------------
Overwhelming Evidence: Apply directly to the forehead.

   
Tim Hague



Posts: 32
Joined: Nov. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,05:45   

There was a horrendous remake a few years ago, wasn't there?  With Joey from Friends in it.  

Unless it was just a horrible nightmare I had...

   
Chris Hyland



Posts: 705
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,05:50   

Plus they've parodied it in the simpsons a few times.

  
dhogaza



Posts: 525
Joined: Feb. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,06:43   

Quote
I read a very interesting article once--New Yorker? Atlantic Monthly? Haarpers?--detailing how the deBeers cartel incited such a demand for diamonds, over the course of the 20th century, that diamonds went from ordinary gemstone to extraordinarily valuable. Great PR campaign.

Really OT here but it's been called by many the greatest marketing campaign in history.  The diamond engagement ring "tradition" was mostly made-up by deBeers.

A far more successful marketing campaign than that run by the Discovery Institute...

  
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,07:37   

While the reasoning is wrong, some UDiots seem to realize their side had chumps in Dover:

Quote
  1.

     I’ve been aware of Miller’s penchant for making “mistakes” in his published material ever since reading his Finding Darwin’s God. It’s all well and good to point this out now, I guess, but what kind of fools did the Dover school board have for their attorneys? Did they know what it means to impeach a witness? Frankly it would probably have been better in the long run to keep this under our hats in the hopes of getting him on the stand again in a trial some day.

     Comment by Dung — July 7, 2006 @
 12:13 pm


Anyway, don't you love hearing the 400 million reasons why Dover was decided incorrectly? It was because the school board members were liars, or they had a bad textbook, or Judge Jones  ignored their testimony, or he was trying to make a name for himself, or he was an activist, or he should have ruled more narrowly, or Ken Miller lied, or that the law oughtn't decide what's science, or Jones discriminated against christians, or Barbara Forrest snowed everybody or blah blah blah...

   
deadman_932



Posts: 3094
Joined: May 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,07:49   

Quote
I read a very interesting article once--New Yorker? Atlantic Monthly? Haarpers?--detailing how the deBeers cartel incited such a demand for diamonds, over the course of the 20th century, that diamonds went from ordinary gemstone to extraordinarily valuable. Great PR campaign.

I think it was PBS' "Frontline" that had a program on that, too, and yeah, it's amazing from the standpoint of advertising, mass psych, and monopolies ( or near-monopolies, now. See the Economist article  here ) and a neat picture they had:

--------------
AtBC Award for Thoroughness in the Face of Creationism

  
Jim_Wynne



Posts: 1208
Joined: June 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,09:18   

Wrt the Cordova post at UD which references this bit of luskinism, it appears that Luskin is (probably deliberately) conflating editions (i.e., revisions) of the Miller/Levine text with printings of it.  Books may be reprinted without being revised, thus when Miller said in his Dover testimony that the language that Luskin is whining about was removed in the xth edition, he was apparently telling the truth.

--------------
Evolution is not about laws but about randomness on happanchance.--Robert Byers, at PT

  
bourgeois_rage



Posts: 117
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,09:42   

Quote
#

1. Thinking about water, I just realized I have a question about molecules that perhaps someone here can help me with. I envision them like cells, that is, having a membrane of sorts, but that isn’t true, is it? So if we have a body of water, how does each molecule maintain itself next to the others? For how long does it do so?

[...]

Comment by avocationist — July 7, 2006 @ 11:15 am


Brilliant. Good thing these people aren't trying to force feed their view of science into the education system. I think the theory that avocationist is looking for is "intelligent molecule holding." It says that some intelligent being is required to hold all the molcules together, or else they will all fly apart. Oh and molecules that fly apart, they are governed by "intelligent molecule pushing." That says the molecules need an intelligent force to push them apart, otherwise they would just stick together.

Click

--------------
Overwhelming Evidence: Apply directly to the forehead.

   
wheatdogg



Posts: 8
Joined: June 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,10:38   

I think JanieBelle is playing us all. Witness her post  here describing a date with a female Marine at Camp LeJeune. She's either a precocious (and uninhibited) high school student or someone older with a flair for the elaborate practical joke.

Some people, after all, think Father Guido Sarducci really is a Catholic priest!

One of my commenters, who is allegedly L. Riofrio, a real person, maintains a weird blog that features photos of physics researcher Louise Riofrio at dozens of farflung tourist sites. The blogger occasionally rambles about the mysteries of the cosmos and how everything is connected, and in particular, how primordial black holes are responsible for earth's and Io's internal geologies. He/she claims to discovered something new about gravity that no one has yet acknowledged.

That L. Riofrio has named her own blog "A Babe in the Universe" leads me to suspect the whole blog is an elaborate hoax, perhaps by a boyfriend or by Louise and a co-conspirator.

So far, JanieBelle has not posted any pix, salacious or otherwise, like "L. Riofrio," so I am beginning to smell a rat.

  
dhogaza



Posts: 525
Joined: Feb. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,11:14   

Quote
   By the way, if anyone is aboard (Kate taught me that) Camp Lejeune and comes across a silver ring and a black thong in the middle of the woods, could I have the thong back? It's one of my favorites.

Sounds like she and Kate are more than just casual kissing friends.

Wonder how that will go down (hmmm I'm leavin' that) with the fundie crowd at UD?

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,11:30   

Cast your mind back to Dave's swoonfest for Mann Coulter. Now Mann has been caught plagerizing, how does Dave 'data belongs to everyone' Tard feel?

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
deadman_932



Posts: 3094
Joined: May 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,11:54   

edited. I had some comments on the janiebelle thing,  but screw it-- if she's not real, great, if real, I'm *still* amused

--------------
AtBC Award for Thoroughness in the Face of Creationism

  
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,13:02   

Quote
2. There is, by definition, one universe. It seems that what little I understand of the MUT (multiple universe theory) supposes that the universes are all continually spawned off one another. Even if they are separately contained within some sort of bubbles, it is still one universe in the sense that they are causally connected. The MUT I read about (and it might be wrong) seems to me spatially and mathematically impossible, that is, they would be generated in ever-increasing numbers.

If they are not spawning one another, then something deeper is spawning them, and that is where we must look.
Therefore, they are still causally connected.
But if they are somehow not causally connected and/or are in some way utterly impermeable to one another forever, then there is no way to ever prove anything about them, nor infer their existence in any way, and they are therefore less than meaningless. Effectively, they do not exist.

In any causally connected scenario, there is no reason to assume different laws could apply for them. A non-causally connected scenario is miraculous beyond all extremes.

3. Off topic question: Does anyone know of any ID or antiDarwinian publications, books or articles, available in the Russian language, either here, abroad, or on the net?

Comment by avocationist — July 7, 2006 @ 11:15 am


Geez Louise.

   
deadman_932



Posts: 3094
Joined: May 2006

(Permalink) Posted: July 07 2006,13:15   

"If they are not spawning one another, then something deeper is spawning them, and that is where we must look"

"We must look deeper, Avocationist?"

"Yes, deeper in time..all the way ---to the year 2000!!!"

Chorus: " In the year 2000....in the year 2000"

(note, for non-americans: it's a "talk show" reference, sorry)

--------------
AtBC Award for Thoroughness in the Face of Creationism

  
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