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Henry J



Posts: 5786
Joined: Mar. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 10 2007,14:28   

Re "Does he mean saltationism (unorthodox adherence to sudden change as a primary evolutionary mechanism)? "

He can't mean that, since "sudden change" isn't a mechanism - it's a description of the speed of whatever the relevant mechanism might be. :p

Henry

  
J-Dog



Posts: 4402
Joined: Dec. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 10 2007,14:52   

Quote (Kristine @ Aug. 10 2007,14:08)
Of course I wrote that. Your next comment here will explain how that argues against saltation. Good luck. -ds [/quote][/quote]
Um, yeah, good luck! What's his point? Does he mean saltationism (unorthodox adherence to sudden change as a primary evolutionary mechanism)?

He is obviously referring to what makes Cheesey Poofs the heavenly treat that it is for one Mr. David Scot Springer!  

As a true Cheesy Poofs afficianado, DaveScot knows how absolutely critical saltation is to the end product.  

The saltaton must be designed correctly and properly flagellated, so that when combined with the basic element Poofiness,  and when the Cheese is cut just right, then the Miracle Of Transubstantiation occurs, and his fingers are magically covered with tasty cheesy goodness.  


MMMMMM- The Miracle of The Cheesy Poofs

--------------
Come on Tough Guy, do the little dance of ID impotence you do so well. - Louis to Joe G 2/10

Gullibility is not a virtue - Quidam on Dembski's belief in the Bible Code Faith Healers & ID 7/08

UD is an Unnatural Douchemagnet. - richardthughes 7/11

  
Albatrossity2



Posts: 2780
Joined: Mar. 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 10 2007,15:03   

Quote (J-Dog @ Aug. 10 2007,14:52)
MMMMMM- The Miracle of The Cheesy Poofs

Funny, I don't recall that Cheesy-poof Transubstantiation was one of the original 5 Joyful Mysteries. I haven't kept up with the news; have there been other additions to the list?

--------------
Flesh of the sky, child of the sky, the mind
Has been obligated from the beginning
To create an ordered universe
As the only possible proof of its own inheritance.
                        - Pattiann Rogers

   
Arden Chatfield



Posts: 6657
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 10 2007,15:06   

Quote (Albatrossity2 @ Aug. 10 2007,15:03)
Quote (J-Dog @ Aug. 10 2007,14:52)
MMMMMM- The Miracle of The Cheesy Poofs

Funny, I don't recall that Cheesy-poof Transubstantiation was one of the original 5 Joyful Mysteries. I haven't kept up with the news; have there been other additions to the list?

No. Remember, one of the things that makes religion better than science is that religion never changes.  :angry:

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"Rich is just mad because he thought all titties had fur on them until last week when a shorn transvestite ruined his childhood dreams by jumping out of a spider man cake and man boobing him in the face lips." - Erasmus

  
J-Dog



Posts: 4402
Joined: Dec. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 10 2007,15:31   

Quote (Albatrossity2 @ Aug. 10 2007,15:03)
Quote (J-Dog @ Aug. 10 2007,14:52)
MMMMMM- The Miracle of The Cheesy Poofs

Funny, I don't recall that Cheesy-poof Transubstantiation was one of the original 5 Joyful Mysteries. I haven't kept up with the news; have there been other additions to the list?

You must not be a True Member of The First Church Of Cheesy Poofs - Reformed Synod, so Die Heretic Scum!

http://www.ahajokes.com/reg38.html

This is why religions would be the funniest thing in the whole entire world, if they weren't so damn scary.

--------------
Come on Tough Guy, do the little dance of ID impotence you do so well. - Louis to Joe G 2/10

Gullibility is not a virtue - Quidam on Dembski's belief in the Bible Code Faith Healers & ID 7/08

UD is an Unnatural Douchemagnet. - richardthughes 7/11

  
Reciprocating Bill



Posts: 4265
Joined: Oct. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 10 2007,15:45   

Quote
Your Karma ran over my Dogma
BlarneyA

From the AP story regarding new discoveries debunking the Homo habilis evolved into Homo erectus theory (see Sal’s post below):

“Susan Anton, a New York University anthropologist and co-author of the Leakey work, said she expects anti-evolution proponents to seize on the new research, but said it would be a mistake to try to use the new work to show flaws in evolution theory.  ‘This is not questioning the idea at all of evolution; it is refining some of the specific points,’ Anton said.  ‘This is a great example of what science does and religion doesn’t do.  It’s a continuous self-testing process.’”

Interesting statement.  One suspects that what Anton really means is that, for her, science is a continuous self-testing process within the limits allowed by her overarching metaphysical commitment to philosophical naturalism.  And any “test” that would tend to show that the irreducible complexity and complex specified information found in all living things was caused by an intelligent agent rather than by chance and necessity is strictly off limits.  

Anton is a dogmatist when it comes to naturalism.  Will our evolutionist friends tell me they don’t see any irony when she belittles other dogmatists simple for being dogmatists.

Barry: You're right.

I've called in some favors and removed ALL such overarching metaphysical commitments and resulting limits from biological research. Plus I've secured unlimited funding, available in the form of grants.

Let's get to work on that exciting grant proposal!  

Your hypothesis is: "Some instances of biological complexity were caused by a non-natural intelligent agent."

Please suggest an instance (or instances) of biological complexity (your choice). Now, with respect to this instance, describe an empirical prediction that arises uniquely from your hypothesized mechanism. Sketch the experimental and/or observational procedures that will enable a test of your prediction. Very important to the grant committee: Describe outcomes that would disconfirm your hypothesis.  

Ready, set, GO!

Uh, having trouble getting started?  As a model, I commend to you the research you described in your post, quoted above. An hypothesis (homo habilis is a direct human ancestor) was put to the test. The sorts of findings that would discomfirm the hypothesis were known before further fieldwork was conducted; subsequent observations discomfirmed that hypothesis.

Surely you are not including adherence to this cycle of prediction and observation among the metaphysical committments you reject?

Ready, set, GO!

Uh...

--------------
Myth: Something that never was true, and always will be.

"The truth will set you free. But not until it is finished with you."
- David Foster Wallace

"Here’s a clue. Snarky banalities are not a substitute for saying something intelligent. Write that down."
- Barry Arrington

  
Bob O'H



Posts: 2564
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,06:44   

The comments in BarryA's latest post are confusing:

Quote
To compare religion and science in this way is rediculous. Both (ideally) seek the truth, but religion has never claimed to be “self-testing” in the scientific, imperical sense. I


Quote
Both religion and science adjust to new data. Otherwise most people would still be 6-day creationists. Is she trying to say that religions don’t adjust to new data? That’s ridiculous.


Quote
Why would God’s word need revising like science given the presuppositions held by Christians? The whole point is that divine revelations is right — it does not NEED adjusting.


Quote
Is it even correct to say that religion doesn’t entail a “self-testing process”?

Doesn’t the fruit of a particular belief system (atheism, vodoo, Christianity) constitute a kind of test of its divine vs. human origin?


So is religion open to revision or not?

And the final comment at the moment is:
Quote
You don’t really want Eric Von Daniken on board. Most people consider him a crackpot and by association…


Bob

--------------
It is fun to dip into the various threads to watch cluelessness at work in the hands of the confident exponent. - Soapy Sam (so say we all)

   
Albatrossity2



Posts: 2780
Joined: Mar. 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,11:44   

New thread up at UD, in the pot-kettle-black category. "Richard Dawkins is “out of date” with his genetics."

No comments there right now, but stay tuned...

--------------
Flesh of the sky, child of the sky, the mind
Has been obligated from the beginning
To create an ordered universe
As the only possible proof of its own inheritance.
                        - Pattiann Rogers

   
Bob O'H



Posts: 2564
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,12:07   

The full interview is on the ABC's site.  A couple of comments:
1. Calder is a global warming sceptic (and therefore designated Officially Evil by us scientists).
2. The interviewer helps by buggering up his criticism of Dawkins by throwing in epigenetics, when Calder seemed to be talking about epistasis.  Either way, it's not clear what it is that Calder thinks Dawkins is actually missing.
3. Does Calder have any training in biology?  I'm wondering why someone at UD would presume him to be an expert in...  Oh, never mind.

Bob

--------------
It is fun to dip into the various threads to watch cluelessness at work in the hands of the confident exponent. - Soapy Sam (so say we all)

   
Zachriel



Posts: 2723
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,14:57   

Quote (Albatrossity2 @ Aug. 11 2007,11:44)
New thread up at UD, in the pot-kettle-black category. "Richard Dawkins is “out of date” with his genetics."

No comments there right now, but stay tuned...

Quote
Rob: Calder claims (2:30 into the clip) that Dawkins is out of date because mutations can happen which are more complex than those which Dawkins acknowledges, which gives evolution even more possible avenues to explore and make the process work even quicker than Dawkins gives it credit for.

[Dawkins’s] account of evolution is hopelessly out of date. There are all kinds of things that happen to genes that just don’t figure in his way of thinking. There are all kinds of ways in which accelerated evolution can occur, involving several genes at one time. And yet the idea of the single mutation being tested by natural selection which has been the dogma for 70 or 80 years is dead, defunct.

I don’t know if Calder is right about any of that. But if he is it means that Dawkins has been understating the speed and ability of natural processes to create and improve the features of living organisms. Please explain how this strengthens ID (compared to naturalistic evolution) as an explanation for the development of life.

Good question.

Quote
jerry: It may one day represent a big PR victory

Does that answer your question?

--------------

You never step on the same tard twice—for it's not the same tard and you're not the same person.

   
Albatrossity2



Posts: 2780
Joined: Mar. 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,15:17   

Good one, Zach!

The comments continue with this gem, which may be sincere or may represent deep trollery.  
Quote
However, his second possibility raises an intriguing opportunity for both the ID and evolutionist/ materialist researchers to work side-by-side, each side providing checks and balances to the other. I have seen this in action, both on this site and at TT. This is definitely a situation I would advocate and support.

But then reality would kick in. Ah, one can dream, eh?

I, for one, certainly dream of working side-by-side in the undoubtedly palatial and barely-used super-double-secret labs of the DI. I'm not sure about the "checks and balances" thing. How, exactly, do I check the "goddidit" explanation?

But I am afraid that if that could happen, the "reality" that kicked in would not be viewed favorably by the IDiots over there. Reality might be, y'know, "materialistic"!

--------------
Flesh of the sky, child of the sky, the mind
Has been obligated from the beginning
To create an ordered universe
As the only possible proof of its own inheritance.
                        - Pattiann Rogers

   
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,18:30   

Quote (Bob O'H @ Aug. 11 2007,07:44)
Quote
Both religion and science adjust to new data. Otherwise most people would still be 6-day creationists. Is she trying to say that religions don’t adjust to new data? That’s ridiculous.

Please show me where Mr. Cordova made that adjustment.

   
Lou FCD



Posts: 5455
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 11 2007,19:27   

Quote (Zachriel @ Aug. 11 2007,14:57)
Quote
jerry: It may one day represent a big PR victory

Does that answer your question?

Hints of a Waterloo on the wind...

--------------
“Why do creationists have such a hard time with commas?

Linky“. ~ Steve Story, Legend

   
stevestory



Posts: 13407
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,05:28   

1

scordova

08/12/2007

1:58 am

Tard Alert!
scordova is a tard
Quote

Quote

Caroline Crocker

I’m so glad she was not forgotten!
Below is the link to the article in the prestigious scientic journal Nature which broke the story April 28, 2005.
When she and I were being interviewed by Geoff Brumfiel for the story, it was in the back of my mind that when this story breaks it would be the end of her career. See: IDEA in the Prestigious Scientific Journal Nature
We were also in a nationally broadcast TV series last year which connected the works of Darwin to Adolf Hitler.
See: http://tinyurl.com/mtay5

   
Albatrossity2



Posts: 2780
Joined: Mar. 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,07:17   

Posted without comment

Today's Opus.

--------------
Flesh of the sky, child of the sky, the mind
Has been obligated from the beginning
To create an ordered universe
As the only possible proof of its own inheritance.
                        - Pattiann Rogers

   
Zachriel



Posts: 2723
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,07:51   

Quote
Olofsson: It is important to note that it is the probability of the rejection region, not of the individual outcome, that warrants rejection of a hypothesis. A sequence consisting of 22 Ds and 19 Rs could also be said to exhibit evidence of cheating in favor of Democrats, and any particular such sequence also has less than a 1-in-2-trillion probability. However, when the relevant rejection region consisting of all sequences with at least 22 Ds is created, this region turns out to have a probability of about 38% and is thus easily attributed to chance. [2007, p. 7 again.]

Quote
kairosfocus: Now, of course, the first sentence here excerpted is in effect what WD said in defining E* as the upper extremum from 1 R/40 D on, or ~ 1 in 50 billionths of the curve at an extreme, precisely the basic approach of Fisher in rejecting the null hyp that a given sample came from a chance population.

I can't believe that kairosfocus can read Olofsson so wrong so consistently. How do we know that a 22/19 split is reasonably likely? How about a 520/480 split? Or a 575/425 split?

Assuming a fair coin flip, any run of flips is just as likely as any other, but by defining a relevant rejection region, we can determine whether or not a particular run is reasonably attributable to change. Olofsson is providing 22/19 as an example of why defining the rejection region carefully is important, and clearly states that a 22/19 split is "easily attributed to chance", while a 40/1 split is indicative of an unfair coin. And then we look to other evidence to determine whether cheating was likely involved, rather than an inadvertent problem with the methodology. None of this is controversial, and none of this contradicts Dembski.

Quote
kairosfocus: IMHCO — and pardon my turnaround of the rhetorical devices above to make the next point [I am illustrating how the rhetoric works, not making a personal attack] — no “statistician” who properly understands the issue that a relatively small sample of a population is unlikely to be in whole or in part at its extreme, would then glide straight into the second sentence. For, to in effect suggest that any person with even basic exposure to inferential statistics could think that a sample in a proposed “rejection region” encompassing 38% of the curve — i.e odds of nearly 2 in 5 — could be viewed by any informed person as credible evidence of the sample’s being not from the relevant claimed distribution, is to set up a strawman.

Notice the scare-quotes around "statistician" while disavowing a personal attack.



Quote
kairosfocus: Having seen and been a victim of the sort of abuse that often takes over blog threads on this general topic, I sympathise with a strong policy on abuse and willful obtuseness or mere empty regurgitation of a party line.

Argh!

--------------

You never step on the same tard twice—for it's not the same tard and you're not the same person.

   
Zachriel



Posts: 2723
Joined: Sep. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,08:00   

Quote
tribune7: And records are shattered, we will be reaching 300. A landmark not to be passed unless someone resorts to steroids.  :)

This single thread, Official Uncommonly Dense Discussion Thread, has over 17,000 17,835 posts.



And this is just After the Bar Closes. (Not to minimize the efforts of the hardy souls who stick around to toss few back after the bar closes—but just imagine what happens during Happy Hour.)

--------------

You never step on the same tard twice—for it's not the same tard and you're not the same person.

   
Bob O'H



Posts: 2564
Joined: Oct. 2005

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,08:25   

Quote (Zachriel @ Aug. 12 2007,07:51)
Quote
kairosfocus: Having seen and been a victim of the sort of abuse that often takes over blog threads on this general topic, I sympathise with a strong policy on abuse and willful obtuseness or mere empty regurgitation of a party line.

Argh!

I called the emergency services, and told them you address, and said I thought you might need an ambulance.  There was a weary sigh from the other end of the phone, followed by a resigned call of "Zachriel's irony-meter has blown up again".

I hope your insurance company never catches on.

Bob

--------------
It is fun to dip into the various threads to watch cluelessness at work in the hands of the confident exponent. - Soapy Sam (so say we all)

   
k.e



Posts: 1948
Joined: Mar. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,10:08   

Quote
kairosfocus: Having seen and been a victim .....


BWHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

*sniff*..boo hoo hoo..it's an atheist conspiracy

*giggle*

......All together now!!

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The conservative has but little to fear from the man whose reason is the servant of his passions, but let him beware of him in whom reason has become the greatest and most terrible of the passions.These are the wreckers of outworn empires and civilisations, doubters, disintegrators, deicides.Haldane

   
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,12:42   

DaveTard on Popper:

http://www.uncommondescent.com/intelli....-132089

Nature builds a nuclear reactor and falsifies ID:

http://www.ocrwm.doe.gov/factsheets/doeymp0010.shtml

Let's move those goalposts...

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"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,13:05   

Awww bless him. He was so pleased with his comment he made it into a post:

http://www.uncommondescent.com/intelli....re-2570

with very scientific, clearly deifined concepts like:

 
Quote
All abstract code driven information processing and manufacturing machinery, ...


How many sciencewoo adjectives are required for CSI, again?

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Reciprocating Bill



Posts: 4265
Joined: Oct. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,13:06   

DaveTard does a piss poor job of representing for ID:
   
Quote
Popper’s Hypothesis: All swans are white.

ID Hypothesis: All abstract code driven information processing and manufacturing machinery, which isn’t simply a replication of prexisting machinery of the same type, was produced by intelligent agency.

Popper’s hypothesis, he said, could never be proven because there could never, even in principle, be a way of knowing that a black swan doesn’t exist somewhere. Popper said the key thing that made it a scientific hypothesis was that it could be falsified in principle by observing a single black swan.

ID’s hypothesis can never be proven because we can never know, even in principle, that no non-intelligent process is able to design these kinds of machines. ID’s hypothesis however can be falsified by observing a single non-intelligent process creating these kinds of machines.

Jesus Dave, could you make ID's job any more difficult? All ID would need to do to revolutionize biology and shower Nobel prizes is demonstrate that just a few (or even one) complex molecular machines are the product of intelligent design. This would be a revolutionary finding even if many or even most others can be shown to be the product of natural selection, or other natural processes.

With friends like you...

Oh, right. You have no friends.

With thinkers like you...

Oh, right...

--------------
Myth: Something that never was true, and always will be.

"The truth will set you free. But not until it is finished with you."
- David Foster Wallace

"Here’s a clue. Snarky banalities are not a substitute for saying something intelligent. Write that down."
- Barry Arrington

  
franky172



Posts: 160
Joined: Jan. 2007

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,13:48   

Dave
s irony meter must be busted:

Quote
If you can’t be bothered to do a small bit of due diligence before posting comments here why should we bother to publish your comments?


Excellent question Dave.

  
steve_h



Posts: 544
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,15:06   

or more recently:
 
Quote
Karen

You misstated Von Daniken’s hypothesis rather badly. His hypothesis is that aliens influenced early human civilization. It does not speak to the origin of life. You don’t need to read Chariots of the Gods to know this. It’s in the first paragraph of the wikipedia entry for von Daniken. If you can’t be bothered to do a small bit of due diligence before posting comments here why should we bother to publish your comments?
(My bold)
From the second paragraph of the wikipedia entry for von Däniken:
Quote
He also supports the hypothesis that human evolution may have been manipulated through means of genetic engineering by extraterrestrial beings.

ok, it's not talking about OOL but "Aliens designed Humans" is certainly an ID position.

  
Arden Chatfield



Posts: 6657
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,15:21   

Quote (steve_h @ Aug. 12 2007,15:06)
or more recently:
   
Quote
Karen

You misstated Von Daniken’s hypothesis rather badly. His hypothesis is that aliens influenced early human civilization. It does not speak to the origin of life. You don’t need to read Chariots of the Gods to know this. It’s in the first paragraph of the wikipedia entry for von Daniken. If you can’t be bothered to do a small bit of due diligence before posting comments here why should we bother to publish your comments?
(My bold)
From the second paragraph of the wikipedia entry for von Däniken:  
Quote
He also supports the hypothesis that human evolution may have been manipulated through means of genetic engineering by extraterrestrial beings.

ok, it's not talking about OOL but "Aliens designed Humans" is certainly an ID position.

At first it might seem impossible to combine 'belligerent' and 'hapless' at the same time, but Dave somehow manages.

--------------
"Rich is just mad because he thought all titties had fur on them until last week when a shorn transvestite ruined his childhood dreams by jumping out of a spider man cake and man boobing him in the face lips." - Erasmus

  
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,15:37   

Quote (Arden Chatfield @ Aug. 12 2007,15:21)
Quote (steve_h @ Aug. 12 2007,15:06)
or more recently:
     
Quote
Karen

You misstated Von Daniken’s hypothesis rather badly. His hypothesis is that aliens influenced early human civilization. It does not speak to the origin of life. You don’t need to read Chariots of the Gods to know this. It’s in the first paragraph of the wikipedia entry for von Daniken. If you can’t be bothered to do a small bit of due diligence before posting comments here why should we bother to publish your comments?
(My bold)
From the second paragraph of the wikipedia entry for von Däniken:    
Quote
He also supports the hypothesis that human evolution may have been manipulated through means of genetic engineering by extraterrestrial beings.

ok, it's not talking about OOL but "Aliens designed Humans" is certainly an ID position.

At first it might seem impossible to combine 'belligerent' and 'hapless' at the same time, but Dave somehow manages.

HAPLIGERENT.     :angry:

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Wesley R. Elsberry



Posts: 4991
Joined: May 2002

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,15:43   

Quote

HAPLIGERENT.


That's a frumious word to come up with.

--------------
"You can't teach an old dogma new tricks." - Dorothy Parker

    
Richardthughes



Posts: 11178
Joined: Jan. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,15:51   

Quote (Wesley R. Elsberry @ Aug. 12 2007,15:43)
Quote

HAPLIGERENT.


That's a frumious word to come up with.

Now setting sail from port manteau...

;)

--------------
"Richardthughes, you magnificent bastard, I stand in awe of you..." : Arden Chatfield
"You magnificent bastard! " : Louis
"ATBC poster child", "I have to agree with Rich.." : DaveTard
"I bow to your superior skills" : deadman_932
"...it was Richardthughes making me lie in bed.." : Kristine

  
Reciprocating Bill



Posts: 4265
Joined: Oct. 2006

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,17:06   

Quote (Reciprocating Bill @ Aug. 12 2007,14:06)
DaveTard does a piss poor job of representing for ID:
                   
Quote
Popper’s Hypothesis: All swans are white.

ID Hypothesis: All abstract code driven information processing and manufacturing machinery, which isn’t simply a replication of prexisting machinery of the same type, was produced by intelligent agency.

Popper’s hypothesis, he said, could never be proven because there could never, even in principle, be a way of knowing that a black swan doesn’t exist somewhere. Popper said the key thing that made it a scientific hypothesis was that it could be falsified in principle by observing a single black swan.

ID’s hypothesis can never be proven because we can never know, even in principle, that no non-intelligent process is able to design these kinds of machines. ID’s hypothesis however can be falsified by observing a single non-intelligent process creating these kinds of machines.

Jesus Dave, could you make ID's job any more difficult? All ID would need to do to revolutionize biology and shower Nobel prizes is demonstrate that just a few (or even one) complex molecular machines are the product of intelligent design.

Now DaveTard has promoted this doofusorial pronouncement to become a post of its own.  

Dave has become ensnared in a bit of sophistry advanced by the ID movement for years solely for rhetorical purposes. Namely: if natural selection can be shown to be insufficient to produce specific instances of complexity, then ID becomes the explanation, by default, without actually advancing any positive propositions or evidence for design. The problem is constructed as "either A or B; hence if not A, then B." This enables attacks on evolution to masquerade as positive arguments for design (what else have they got?) But the assertion that A and B must be mutually exclusive and that A and B exhaust all of the possibilities is specious, as has been demonstrated many times.

Dave has everted and further confused this specious reasoning by asserting that if any complex molecular machine (use  his definition) can be shown to have evolved by means of natural processes (absent "intelligent" intervention) then ID is disproved. This is actually false - it is certainly logically possible that complex molecular machines (as he defines them) may arise by more than one process. He has become hypnotized by the insistence that A and B remain mutually exclusive - a habit motivated both by the absence of positive evidence for B AND by the underlying motivation for the whole project: to show that supernatural (and, obviously, religious) explanations for life, and specifically human life, are REQUIRED.  

(Vis swans, the appropriate Popperian assertion vis ID should be: "There are black swans." Regardless of the number of white swans that may also be observed, one must only is demonstrate the existence of a single black swan to support this assertion.

Hence, "There are intelligently designed structures." Regardless of the number of naturally arising complex structures that may be observed, all one must do is demonstrate the existence of a single designed structure to support this assertion.)

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Myth: Something that never was true, and always will be.

"The truth will set you free. But not until it is finished with you."
- David Foster Wallace

"Here’s a clue. Snarky banalities are not a substitute for saying something intelligent. Write that down."
- Barry Arrington

  
Wesley R. Elsberry



Posts: 4991
Joined: May 2002

(Permalink) Posted: Aug. 12 2007,17:25   

Actually, I think the Popperian stance is that a falsifiable statement must have some consequence that is 1) checkable in principle and 2) true if the statement is true. Thus, if one checks the consequence and discovers that it is false, one can also be just that certain that the proposition that had that consequence is false, too. This makes the IDC advocate blathering obviously wrongheaded; they always seek to establish the truth of their preferred conjecture by saying that some unrelated conjecture is false. This has nothing to do with falsification.

I pointed out to Dembski in 2001 that all his talk of tests concerning the explanatory filter could not possibly put his EF at risk. The only class of events that could test his EF were the ones that he steadfastly avoided: examples where he agreed ahead of time were adequately explained as resulting from the action of natural processes. Then, if the EF dropped those into the "design" bin, we would learn that the EF is unreliable. But Dembski only talks about instances of known agent design or instances where he definitely does not agree ahead of time that natural processes are sufficient, meaning that on the one hand the EF tells us nothing that we didn't know before, and on the other, the worst that can befall the EF is that it emits a "false negative", which Dembski claims doesn't matter. Dembski is very careful not to let a possible false positive come anywhere near his tinker-toy tower of propositional logic. Witness his discussion of the Oklo nuclear reactors in NFL. What if the probabilities, once known, say "design"? Well, then, the Oklo reactors must really be designed.

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"You can't teach an old dogma new tricks." - Dorothy Parker

    
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