Joined: May 2008
|Quote (FrankH @ Mar. 17 2009,13:07)|
|On the misuse of probability at UD and other Creto sites. Please correct me if I'm wrong on where I think they get their assumptions on the probabilities of the formation of complex proteins:|
1: That atoms forming together via covalent or ionic bonds are random and equal in probability.
2: There is nothing special about Carbon nor its ability to form long and complex chains.
3: A complex protein is formed spontaneously and no pre-cursors were needed nor formed first.
4: The probability is done in a "Random Walk" style. By that with three degrees of motion, in either a "positive" or "negative" manner (ie towards the completion or removing itself from the completion of the protein).
Am I missing anything?
I'm sure you're right, but they have much bigger problems with probability than what you've listed here. They don't seem to understand why it's meaningless to calculate the odds of an event that has already occurred and they don't seem to understand why long odds against a particular evolutionary pathway is not an obstacle for evolution in general.